At 10:00 am EST on April 13, the US Navy officially began a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (”Trump says Iranian ships to be ‘eliminated’ as US naval blockade begins”), turning the world’s most important oil chokepoint into the epicenter of a fresh pricing shock. In theory, at least….
SAVE PRIVATE TAKAICHI: HOW JAPAN’S YEN CRISIS IS BEING IGNORED
Almost 2 years ago, I wrote a research piece that, at that time, left many in utter disbelief: “A PEEK INTO THE FUTURE: USD/JPY ROAD TO 300.” In that piece, I calculated what should have been the JPY fair exchange rate against the USD at that time based on the…
THE PRIVATE CREDIT IMPLOSION WILL TRIGGER A GREATER FINANCIAL CRISIS
Now more people are talking about Private Credit. Surely the many headlines coming day after day about funds denying their investors’ requests to cash out resonate more with a larger audience, hence deserve more visibility in media hungry to attract engagement and maximize advertising revenues compared to all the warnings…
OIL WILL DECIDE WHEN GOLD AND SILVER BOTTOMED
This week started with a “Bang!”, but I am not referring to the sound of bomb or rocket strikes somewhere in the Middle East, but to President Trump’s post that jolted global markets about 2 hours before US cash trading began on Monday. There is plenty of commentary out there…
THE INCOMING SHOCK IS GOING TO BE WORSE THAN THE COVID ONE
It has been more than 2 weeks now since the war against Iran started, and so far, nothing has gone as planned. Literally nothing. Iran’s counteroffensive capabilities have been underestimated. Its willingness to cause severe damage to its enemies and allies economies was ignored. The overall impact on the global…
WHY IS COMMODITY PRICES MANIPULATION A GIFT TO PATIENT INVESTORS
Tuesday, the 10th of March 2026, will likely enter the history books as the date when state-sponsored market manipulation became official. Yesterday, around 11:20 AM EST, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced with a post on X how the US Navy successfully escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of…
MY STUPID STRATEGY FOR WARTIMES INVESTING
In the past 72 hours, traffic on social media was through the roof, especially on X, but another thing was off the charts: the amount of nonsense being spread left and right with the sole purpose of farming engagement. Am I an expert on Iran? No, I am not, and…
IS THE DUO NVIDIA – COREWEAVE ABOUT TO JOLT THE AI NARRATIVE?
Lately, I haven’t written that often like I used to about AI and all the wicked narratives that propelled the stock price of many companies in the space into the stratosphere. The reason is very simple: after more than fifty articles over 2 years (all archived here), until today, I…
MAG7s NOW ISSUING DEBT TO CONTINUE BUILDING AI IS A LOUD WARNING
In the past few days, something rather incredible happened: Amazon and Google, two “cash cows,” started to gear up to directly issue debt. When I read this headline, “Google to join exclusive 100 club with century-long bond,” I couldn’t hold back a smirk on my face while thinking, “This is…
WHAT’S NEXT FOR SILVER? 2022 NICKLE STYLE MAYHEM
In the past months, I have been documenting the slow-motion train wreck in the physical silver market. The draining vaults, the explosive lease rates, the widening chasm between “paper” price and physical reality. Many of you have followed this journey, watching the puzzle pieces accumulate. Today, those pieces lock into…