First of all, I would like to praise The Information for its excellent work in doing proper journalism, something that nowadays is more unique than rare, sadly. Let’s start with the explosive article just published and that, of course, barely caught the attention of mainstream media that are being very…
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MOUNTING SIGNS OF LIQUIDITY PROBLEMS AMONG LARGE US AND UK BANKS
The past week has been incredibly interesting, to say the least. For the first time since the 2020 COVID crisis, we saw the FED Standing Repo Facility being tapped for a significant size by at least one bank (IF “EVERYTHING IS AWESOME” WHY THERE IS AT LEAST ONE LARGE BANK…
AT THIS RATE CHINESE STOCKS WILL HIT ALL TIME HIGHS IN 3 WEEKS – WHAT’S REALLY HAPPENING THERE?
Victory lap after victory lap, my sincere congratulations to all those who jumped onto this rally. Just remember profits only become real once you cash out, but clearly, this is not on anyone’s mind at the moment. Let me share a story with you first: I landed in Hong Kong…
IF “EVERYTHING IS AWESOME” WHY THERE IS AT LEAST ONE LARGE BANK THAT COULDN’T FIND LIQUIDITY IN THE OPEN MARKET AND NEEDED IT FROM THE FED?
Yesterday was the end of the third quarter of the year, which means banks (along with brokers and asset managers) were busy “window dressing” their books to make sure they looked as good as possible by the time the quarter-end snapshot of their financials was taken. Bank goals heading toward…
JAPAN ISN’T ALLOWED TO IMPLODE BEFORE US ELECTIONS, BUT NOT EVERYTHING IS UNDER CONTROL AND THE CHANCES FOR A REAL BLACK MONDAY TO SPARK ARE NOT THAT LOW
Last Friday, a few minutes after the Tokyo stock exchange closed for the week, news about Shigeru Ishiba winning the LDP party leadership elections, making him virtually the next Prime Minister, jolted Japan’s futures and FX markets. Why did Japan stock futures crash more than 7% after the news? Because…
FED ACTION TODAY MARKS THE BEGINNING OF THE END OF THE FIAT MONETARY SYSTEM EXPERIMENT
The FED just delivered an oversized cut with the S&P500 trading at all-time highs, signalling that, contrary to their mandate, their focus isn’t the economy anymore but to deliver the political agenda of the US Administration in charge. That the FED is now clearly solely focused on defending the stock…
SMCI – THE NUCLEAR NOTHING BURGER THAT CAN EXPOSE NVIDIA SHENANIGANS
Everyone makes mistakes; that’s part of being human, and I make mistakes as well from time to time. The mistake I made this past week was overlooking the fact that SMCI fell into the “Large Accelerated Filers” category (wrong post here) concerning the mandatory reporting requirements the company has to…
THE FORGOTTEN LESSON FROM EVERY CRASH SINCE 1929: BE A BUYER WHEN THERE IS NO HOPE LEFT IN MARKETS
16 years have now passed since the GFC, the true last major financial markets crisis. Many people who started working at that time are now 35-40 years old and are at that stage of their lives when they start thinking about accumulating wealth for a comfortable retirement. Those who instead…
THE US YIELD CURVE IS SCREAMING “DANGER!” AND ONCE AGAIN NOBODY IS LISTENING
The U.S. Treasury yield curve is one of the most important indicators in global financial markets, serving as a reflection of investors’ sentiment, economic outlook, and central bank policy. By plotting the yields of government bonds across different maturities, the yield curve provides insight into the direction of interest rates,…
THE TWO KEY PRINCIPLES UPON WHICH CHINA IS REBOOTING ITS ECONOMY (AND THAT THE WEST DOESN’T UNDERSTAND)
I’ve spent over a decade living in Hong Kong, regularly traveling through Mainland China—except during the Covid-19 period, for obvious reasons. While many foreigners left, I stayed, immersing myself in the region’s culture and economy. This unique vantage point gives me direct access to life in China, unfiltered, while staying…