The latest Nvidia 10-K is not only remarkable for the outstanding results the company achieved in the last fiscal year, a good chunk of which are very questionable as we discussed so many times (archive), but is also remarkable for the significant amount of risk disclosures and legal disclaimers included…
Month: February 2025
AT WHICH STAGE OF A BUBBLE DO COMPANIES COMMIT MONEY THEY WILL NEVER REALISTICALLY HAVE?
That expectations and dreams today count more than reality is becoming harder and harder to deny, just as it’s becoming harder and harder to deny that companies’ management exclusively focuses on inflating their stock prices as much as possible in the short term, neglecting medium and long-term structural business growth….
NORINCHUKIN BANK IMPLOSION OFFICIALLY BEGINS
“Is it possible for a bank to continue operating while being insolvent? The answer is yes, and Norinchukin Bank is the best example of it at the moment”. This was how I started my last article on Norinchukin Bank 3 months ago. This is why yesterday I wasn’t surprised at…
THE CONSEQUENCES OF A GOLD TSUNAMI HITTING THE LBMA
The 2013 gold market crash, triggered by a sudden collapse in COMEX futures prices, exposed vulnerabilities in the global gold trading system. At that time, paper gold markets—dominated by futures contracts and speculative trading—overshadowed physical demand, creating a fragile equilibrium. Investors watched in disbelief as prices plummeted nearly 30% in…
HOW SOFTBANK IS FIGHTING BANKRUPTCY
Three months ago, right after SoftBank’s quarterly results for the three months ended in September 2024, I wrote “SOFTBANK IS RUNNING OUT OF CASH, BUT NO WORRIES NVIDIA IS TRYING TO RESCUE IT,” highlighting how Masaponzi Son’s company continues to burn significant amounts of cash. However, a timely announcement of…
THE POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A SHORT SQUEEZE ON BOE GOLD EXPOSURE
Before diving into what’s happening in the gold market, with a particular focus on the Bank of England, let me first share a broader view of the dynamics at play for better understanding. The physical gold market is where people buy and sell real gold in the form of bars,…
WHY THE SITUATION OF UBS IS VERY DANGEROUS
A notification pops up on my phone about UBS’s latest earnings results and how cheerfully the market reacted, sending the stock up ~3% at the opening. As I always do, I go to the company’s investor relations website, download the latest report, and start reading. It didn’t take me long…
WHY MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN IS SUCH A BAD NEWS FOR MANY (GREEDY) US INVESTORS
It is no mystery that U.S. companies that produce goods in other countries, like China, and sell them in the U.S., have successfully implemented many strategies over the years to maximize profits while minimizing taxation on their operations, especially profit tax. One common strategy is transfer pricing, which involves setting…