More than a month ago in “WHY MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN IS SUCH A BAD NEWS FOR MANY (GREEDY) US INVESTORS” I warned about how those companies that would suffer the biggest impact from US tariffs on foreign countries were, paradoxically, US companies. Why? Companies like Apple spent years building…
Author: Dario
THE DESPERATE MOVE OF GERMANY’S POLITICIANS
Germany, long regarded as the economic locomotive of Europe, unveiled a 2025 budget plan in July 2024 that raised eyebrows across financial markets (to say the least). With a mix of ambitious spending, fiscal rule-bending, and stubborn adherence to the controversial “debt brake,” the new budget reflected a government grappling…
THE US CRYPTO RESERVE PLAN: WHAT IT MEANS FOR INVESTORS EVERYWHERE
Let me paint you a picture. Imagine the U.S. Treasury announced it was buying up Amazon stock, Swiss francs, and commodities to hold as strategic reserves. Markets would go haywire. Now, replace those assets with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a handful of other cryptocurrencies. That’s exactly what’s happening. President Trump just…
NVIDIA MANAGERS KNOW LAWSUITS ARE COMING AND ARE PREPARING TO DEFEND THEMSELVES
The latest Nvidia 10-K is not only remarkable for the outstanding results the company achieved in the last fiscal year, a good chunk of which are very questionable as we discussed so many times (archive), but is also remarkable for the significant amount of risk disclosures and legal disclaimers included…
AT WHICH STAGE OF A BUBBLE DO COMPANIES COMMIT MONEY THEY WILL NEVER REALISTICALLY HAVE?
That expectations and dreams today count more than reality is becoming harder and harder to deny, just as it’s becoming harder and harder to deny that companies’ management exclusively focuses on inflating their stock prices as much as possible in the short term, neglecting medium and long-term structural business growth….
NORINCHUKIN BANK IMPLOSION OFFICIALLY BEGINS
“Is it possible for a bank to continue operating while being insolvent? The answer is yes, and Norinchukin Bank is the best example of it at the moment”. This was how I started my last article on Norinchukin Bank 3 months ago. This is why yesterday I wasn’t surprised at…
THE CONSEQUENCES OF A GOLD TSUNAMI HITTING THE LBMA
The 2013 gold market crash, triggered by a sudden collapse in COMEX futures prices, exposed vulnerabilities in the global gold trading system. At that time, paper gold markets—dominated by futures contracts and speculative trading—overshadowed physical demand, creating a fragile equilibrium. Investors watched in disbelief as prices plummeted nearly 30% in…
HOW SOFTBANK IS FIGHTING BANKRUPTCY
Three months ago, right after SoftBank’s quarterly results for the three months ended in September 2024, I wrote “SOFTBANK IS RUNNING OUT OF CASH, BUT NO WORRIES NVIDIA IS TRYING TO RESCUE IT,” highlighting how Masaponzi Son’s company continues to burn significant amounts of cash. However, a timely announcement of…
THE POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A SHORT SQUEEZE ON BOE GOLD EXPOSURE
Before diving into what’s happening in the gold market, with a particular focus on the Bank of England, let me first share a broader view of the dynamics at play for better understanding. The physical gold market is where people buy and sell real gold in the form of bars,…
WHY THE SITUATION OF UBS IS VERY DANGEROUS
A notification pops up on my phone about UBS’s latest earnings results and how cheerfully the market reacted, sending the stock up ~3% at the opening. As I always do, I go to the company’s investor relations website, download the latest report, and start reading. It didn’t take me long…