The previous quarter, banks truly stretched any possible accounting and regulatory standard to the limit to kick the can down the road, hoping a #FED rate cut could give them some relief. Unfortunately for them, not only did this not happen, but today our dear Jerome Burns reminded everyone that…
Author: Dario
IS SOFTBANK TRYING TO SQUEEZE ARM INTO MAJOR INDEXES TO FORCE PASSIVE INVESTING BIDS AND LIQUIDATE THE STOCK WITHOUT CRASHING IT?
ARM is both a joy and a problem for Softbank, why? On one side, the stock is Masa Son’s current jewel of the crown, but on the other, #Softbank owns 90% of it, precluding them from liquidating the investment and gathering badly needed cash to repay its mounting debt. I…
HOW DO YOU SAY “NINJA MORTGAGE” IN GERMAN? THE BREWING CRISIS NO ONE IS FORESEEING
As you know, I recently took a trip to Germany. As always, I mixed pleasure with business, aiming to visit relatives and better understand the German real estate market. I was particularly interested in determining if the on-the-ground situation was as dire as the statistical data suggested, which I previously…
MELLANOX, THE CORNERSTONE OF NVIDIA-MICROSOFT REVENUES ROUND-TRIPPING SCHEME
February 22, 2013 case number 1:2013cv01225 US District Court for the Southern District of New York Plaintiff Valentin Petrov Defendant Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. (link). “The Exchange Act claims allege that Defendants engaged in a fraudulent scheme to artificially inflate the Company’s stock price. As a result of the fraud described…
HOW ARE FINANCIAL MARKETS GOING TO REACT IF JOE BIDEN ENDS UP DROPPING OUT OF THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE?
The current market structure, though robust on the surface, maybe one of the most fragile in history. On one side, you have investors, both retail and professional, who tend to #FOMO into anything that rises (although professional investors call that the “momentum” strategy). On the other side, you have algorithms…
WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A LIQUIDITY CRISIS? – EPISODE 2
In September 2023, I addressed for the first time the (nasty) topic of #banks’ balance sheet health in the “This time is not different” post on X. After that, I expanded the analysis to large US and European banks in “WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A…
JAPAN POST BANK IS LIKELY GOING TO BE AN EVEN BIGGER PROBLEM FOR THE BOJ THAN NORINCHUKIN BANK
Today, #Norinchukin Bank is starting to be less of an obscure name compared to more than 7 months ago when the #FED quietly added it to the list of counterparts eligible to access the standing Repo Facility the central bank established with the purpose of dealing with emergency liquidity shortfalls…
A PEEK INTO THE FUTURE: USD/JPY ROAD TO 300
Three months ago, in “Why a Historical $JPY Currency Crisis Is at the Doorstep of Japan”, we discussed the precarious state of the Japanese yen (#JPY). Considering the volume of JPY printed, the size of Japan’s economy, and its foreign reserves, the yen should have been trading at 298 against…
THE STORY OF CREDIT SUISSE, ARCHEGOS, AND A SWAP THAT “SCREAMS” GME
If you are a Prime Broker dealing with a US client involved in “questionable” trading activities in the US, how are you going to deal with that to keep doing business while staying at a safe distance from the US watchdog? Easy, you carry on the business from a different…
WHY WE ARE BUILDING SYNNAX, AND WHY CREDIT INTELLIGENCE IS THE FUTURE
As many of you know, I am quite fond of digging deep into corporate financials. However, there is a physical limit to how much a person can cover. Furthermore, it requires a long time and experience to not miss the nuances of increasingly complex financial reporting documents. Add to this…