If you think that Nvidia got where it is today because of its fundamental valuations, I am sorry but you might want to revise what “fundamental analysis” stands for. It’s no secret anymore that the company has been using borderline legal accounting shenanigans and commercial practices to report much higher…
Author: Dario
DEAR ALL, IT WILL ALL END LIKE IN THE MOVIE “INDEPENDENCE DAY”
Yesterday, I watched the opening of #US #stocks trading in literal disbelief as investors stampeded into $NYCB, sending the stock up 15% at some point. The scene reminded me of the movie “Independence Day”, one of my favorites, when you see people dancing on top of buildings right below the…
MORGAN STANLEY – BIG BALANCE SHEET LOSSES HIDDEN BEHIND EXOTIC DERIVATIVES CURTAINS (AGAIN)?
When you’ve spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day, in my case I traded my first stock when I was 11, sometimes you’re able to spot if something suddenly starts behaving weirdly. This is exactly what happened with Morgan Stanley ($MS) in the…
WHAT CAN SAVE #STOCKS FROM A HISTORICAL IMPLOSION ONCE AGAIN?
It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with…
JAPAN END GAME – A DEEPLY DEVALUED $JPY AND A WORTHLESS #NIKKEI
The #Nikkei just broke 40,000 and yet no one in #Japan is celebrating, literally speaking. Why? The purchasing power of $JPY literally fell through the floor in the past 30 years as a result of endless (and reckless) nonstop money printing. As I wrote almost 5 months ago on X:…
HOW CAN THE #FED BAILOUT BANKS WHEN THIS TIME IT NEEDS A BAILOUT ITSELF TO BEGIN WITH?
Even if blessed with superpowers, in particular, the one of printing infinite money, the Federal Reserve is ultimately a “Bank” and like every superhero has a weak spot like Kryptonite for Superman. Being a “Bank”, hence required to remain solvent, is paradoxically the #FED’s weakness. Let me explain: 1 –…
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES HSBC IS INSOLVENT AND FIGHTING A LIQUIDITY CRISIS? – EPISODE 2
In the first episode, we dived into $HSBC’s liquidity issues. Now, it’s time to peek into its lending books to close the circle on this (beyond messy) bank. 🚩 As hinted in my previous post, despite a market increase in total loan exposure (that, for the record, $HSBC mostly blames…
“WE HAVE NO ALTERNATIVE BUT TO RIDE STOCKS UNTIL THEY RUN”
Yesterday, I spent the evening with a good old friend, now a senior manager in a big financial firm, whom I will label as “Manager X” going forward. I believe some parts of our conversation will be interesting to everyone, my summary below 🙏🏻 1 – Why is there no…
THE PILE OF LIES USED TO RAISE THIS #STOCKS BULL MARKET UP TO THE SKY IS NOT WITHSTANDING GRAVITY ANYMORE
From $NVDA to Janet Yellen, from $AAPL to Jerome Powell, from $SMCI to Gary Gensler, from Joe Biden to the #BLS, from Rishi Sunak to $HSBC, from Christine Lagarde to #GermanRealEstate, from the #BOJ to $GOOG and on and on. What do all those I mentioned have in common? They…
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES $HSBC IS INSOLVENT AND FIGHTING A LIQUIDITY CRISIS?
Apologies for the delay, but it took a while to go through the 450 pages of the $HSBC annual report. 🙏🏻 However, what I am about to show you is worth a huge bucket of 🍿 let’s go. 🚩 #1 – REPO HALLUCINATIONS According to its report, $HSBC should be…