TLDR: My read on FOMC and BOJ actions, the SMCI elephant in the room and what BlackRock sponsored Bitcoin narrative signals. Subscribers only, log in to listen the podcast. TRANSCRIPT Hello everyone, and welcome to the second episode of JustDario Cigar Time. I’ve just picked up my cigar, so let’s sit…
Tag:#BOJ
IF THE FED CUTS RATES, THE DAMAGES WILL BE FAR GREATER THAN THE BENEFITS
Two weeks ago, traders assigned a 60% probability to a FED emergency rate cut, potentially up to 75 basis points. Let me stress this point: an emergency rate cut isn’t an ordinary one. What was the “emergency” that required such a swift and powerful action from the FED two weeks…
IS A LARGE BROKER USING CLIENTS’ FUNDS TO COVER ITS LOSSES?
Even if everything is “back to normal” and everyone is behaving as if the events from two weeks ago were just a bad nightmare, with the VIX free-falling in a way never seen before (from 66 below 18 in 7 trading days, while every time before it took months to…
DEAR BOJ, WHAT’S THIS SOUND ABOUT? “TIC TOC TIC TOC”
On 14 October 2008, the BOJ entered the bailout arena in full force with its “Introduction of Measures regarding Money Market Operations to Ensure Stability in Financial Markets.” Among the four “temporary” initiatives announced, the last one was the most crucial one… and remains the most crucial one today. “Expansion…
DID A CREDIT EVENT TRIGGER ON MONDAY? THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE TO KNOW THE ANSWER IN THE FOLLOWING HOURS
I wonder why not many people are currently asking themselves a very simple question: “Who lost money in #Japan’s stock market crash between Friday and Monday?” One very peculiar thing about the 1987 crash is that many brokerages went bust. So how is it possible that Japan suffered a stock…
IN JAPAN IT WILL BE A MESSY MONDAY, BUT NOT A BLACK ONE (YET)
When you go from “Japan’s Nikkei average closes at all-time high, breaks March record” to “Japan stocks take largest dive since Black Monday of 1987” in the span of a month, it already creates the type of roundtrip that leaves everyone pretty dizzy. The problem is the trip is far…
A TRAVELER GUIDE TO NAVIGATE THE BANK OF JAPAN MESS
First of all, let’s do a quick recap of how we got here: At this point, something very important happens. On the 30th of July, right after US stocks opened for cash trading, someone very big was clearly being margin called and liquidated as I warned in this post here…
FED AND BOJ WILL DO EVERYTHING THEY CAN THIS WEEK TO SAVE THE STOCKS BUBBLE ONCE AGAIN
This week #FED and #BOJ have a lot to lose and very little to gain, a situation they put themselves into and that nobody tried to stop them from falling into. The money printer made so many people happy since the aftermath of the GFC, no motivation for anyone getting…
CHINA HAS BEEN THE FIRST ONE TO ABANDON THE QE ABERRATION, WHO IS GOING TO BE NEXT?
“Higher stock prices will boost consumer wealth and help increase confidence, which can also spur spending. Increased spending will lead to higher incomes and profits that, in a virtuous circle, will further support economic expansion.” This is how on the 5th of November 2010 the almighty Ben Bernanke himself was…
WHY THE BANK OF JAPAN IS DANGEROUSLY PLAYING WITH THE DERIVATIVES FIRE
On the 29th of April, something very special happened, yet many did not grasp the importance of the event. Even if that day was a public holiday in Japan, hence there was no real liquidity in the US Treasuries (both spot and related derivatives) market overnight hours as usual, the…