As you know, I am currently in mainland #China, so please forgive me if I am going to be extra careful about anything I write until next week. Yesterday, #China #stocks suddenly started to free fall in what could have turned into a 1987 style crash if it wasn’t for…
Tag:$USD
THE SHOW MUST GO ON… UNTIL THE END
The famous Queen’s song is a perfect fit as the soundtrack of the current stock market, isn’t it? Anything that doesn’t fit the (manic) #fomo narrative must be ignored, even though the giant 560bn $USD size #CRE Elephant in the room is now patting people on the shoulder. What’s that…
TRADERS AND (ZOMBIE) COMPANIES NOW PRAYING #INFLATION IS NOT COMING BACK
The text discusses concerns about a potential resurgence of inflation, challenging the notion that central banks have successfully tamed it. Recent UK inflation data for December suggests a possible upward trend, prompting questions about the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting plans. Bond traders are adjusting their bets, and the author predicts a likely rise in interest rates unless a significant event disrupts the current pattern. The impending maturity of substantial debt in 2024 adds pressure on yields. Regarding stocks, the author questions the bullish outlook, considering the impact of rising rates and the potential for another crisis. The conclusion advises caution and suggests buying insurance amid market uncertainties.
WHY A BITCOIN ETF WILL REMOVE THE BARRIER BETWEEN CENTRAL BANKS’ MONEY PRINTING AND CRYPTO
The Fiat “On Ramp” and “Off Ramp” is a concept that is key to #crypto. Buying $BTC or any #crypto asset has never been easy and has always been constrained in one way or another by the “bottlenecks” of the stablecoin structure. In a nutshell, to buy crypto and “enter…
WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A LIQUIDITY CRISIS BECAUSE ALREADY (RIDICULOUSLY) INSOLVENT?
Thank you for waiting, but I assure you what follows isn’t going to disappoint you! Two months ago in “This time is NOT different – Part 2,” I flagged how my analysis at that time flashed (big) red warnings on several US banks (TwitterX). My analysis today will expand on…
THE RISK OF A $VIX TURKEY BURSTING OUT FROM THE (SOFTBANK) OVEN
Something happened yesterday that has been broadly ignored: the Bank Of Japan printed ~10bn $USD equivalent in $JPY and delivered an adrenaline shot of liquidity to the market. Hold on a second, why the need to inject liquidity through the back door without any apparent need? The answer is straightforward:…
IN A SCRAMBLE TO SURVIVE, SOFTBANK IS KILLING ALIBABA!
$BABA closed the last session crashing 9% after results beating expectations across the board, leaving many dumbfounded. Of course, the media quickly made up a narrative to write a story that could more or less fit the price action: “Alibaba crashes after pulling its Cloud Unit listing due to US…
WARNING: SOMETHING BROKE!
Yesterday, we were discussing the signs of “Panic behind closed doors” (TwitterX), today we have 100% certainty that something big enough to justify extreme actions from the US Government and US Regulatory Agencies broke somewhere. How else we can justify the SEC is still holding back the “Fails To Deliver…
PANIC BEHIND CLOSED DOORS
So, as I wrote 24h ago, it was clear to anyone paying attention that the Bank Of Japan put itself in a very dangerous spot (TwitterX). Back in 1992, when the Bank Of England was in danger, the Bundesbank cut rates 25bp even if it didn’t make any sense for…
NOW THE HEDGE FUNDS (HYENAS) KNOW THE #BOJ (LION) IS VULNERABLE!
A big powerful “Minsky Moment” struck many investors, including me, around 10am EST on Monday when the last #BOJ intervention barely moved the needle in the FX market. If you think the BOJ can simply hike rates to strengthen the $JPY, then you don’t realize that when a central bank…