During the last session, investors piled into financial #stocks with $XLF up 1.26%, and several major banks had a good green day ahead of the next #FOMC. Since October, $XLF is up 24% despite banks’ books starting to have more holes than Emmental cheese 🧀 (and some even starting to…
Month: January 2024
FEBRUARY 2020 ALL OVER AGAIN?
In 2020, stock markets in the #US and #Europe peaked on the 19th of February, while #China and #HongKong ones peaked exactly one month prior, on the 20th of January. In a great twist of destiny, on the 21st of February this year, $NVDA is scheduled to report its Q4-23…
EVERGRANDE – GAME OVER (AND THEN CHAOS) OR NOT TOMORROW?
Will the #Evergrande never-ending story finally come to an end tomorrow, or will the #HongKong Judge, Justice Linda Chan, adjourn the hearing for the 8th time in the hope that a miracle suddenly strikes #Evergrande from the skies and fixes the whole mess? If the hearing is adjourned again, not…
JENSEN HUANG? MASA SON? LISA SU? – WHO IS “THE SMARTEST ONE IN THE ROOM”?
The name Enron keeps popping up in front of me lately, and yes, it’s very easy to draw comparisons between that fraud and many companies awkwardly showing similar stock price behaviours today (latest one in the post below). What I am going to do today is present you with all…
WITHOUT THE FED BTFP, BANKS WILL NOW HAVE A HARDER TIME TO “HIDE TILL MATURITY” THEIR LOSSES
I started the year writing about how in 2024 the practice used by banks of hiding their losses in Hold to Maturity books (hence “hide till maturity”) would have come to an end [Post Below]. However, I was wrong there, because I wrote this: “As I explained in a post…
CHINA WANTS INVESTORS AND THEIR MONEY BACK – WILL IT SUCCEED THIS TIME?
#China and #HongKong #stocks were literally on the verge of free falling when the “national team” stepped in last week to the rescue. Clearly, the benefits of it were short-lived and yesterday the $HSI closed again below the 15,000 mark. Some #bullish hedge funds that went all-in on #china #stocks…
HOW MANY ARCHER-DANIEL-MIDLAND ARE HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT?
While everyone was busy celebrating new all-time highs, $ADM, the 35th largest company in the US [According to the last Fortune 500] and about to celebrate the 100th anniversary since their shares started trading on the New York Stock Exchange (they listed on December 24th, 1924!), crashed 24% in a…
NOT EVERY “ALL TIME HIGH” IS THE SAME – YES, THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT
he S&P500 closed at new all-time highs last Friday. Yet, have you noticed way fewer people are celebrating this time around? Yes, because indeed this time is different. In all fairness, Bloomberg tried to kick off the party but published one of the articles that has good chances to make…
TRUIST BANK Q4-23 (INSOLVENCY) SCHIZOPHRENIA?
When was the last time you remember a bank losing $5bn in a quarter, after making $1-1.5bn on average in all recent ones, and jumping almost 5% in price as soon as its #stocks start trading? That’s what happened with $TFC yesterday and in case you haven’t figured it out…
TRADERS AND (ZOMBIE) COMPANIES NOW PRAYING #INFLATION IS NOT COMING BACK
The text discusses concerns about a potential resurgence of inflation, challenging the notion that central banks have successfully tamed it. Recent UK inflation data for December suggests a possible upward trend, prompting questions about the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting plans. Bond traders are adjusting their bets, and the author predicts a likely rise in interest rates unless a significant event disrupts the current pattern. The impending maturity of substantial debt in 2024 adds pressure on yields. Regarding stocks, the author questions the bullish outlook, considering the impact of rising rates and the potential for another crisis. The conclusion advises caution and suggests buying insurance amid market uncertainties.