In the article “How Japan’s farmers and fishermen backed the leveraged loan boom” published more than 5 years ago, the FT tried, through the teeth, to sound the alarm on #Norinchukin Bank’s out-of-control buying spree of Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs). The bank was such a key player in the market…
Category:Banks
WILL BANKS MANAGE TO HIDE THEIR MOUNTAIN OF LOSSES FOR ONE MORE QUARTER?
The previous quarter, banks truly stretched any possible accounting and regulatory standard to the limit to kick the can down the road, hoping a #FED rate cut could give them some relief. Unfortunately for them, not only did this not happen, but today our dear Jerome Burns reminded everyone that…
WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A LIQUIDITY CRISIS? – EPISODE 2
In September 2023, I addressed for the first time the (nasty) topic of #banks’ balance sheet health in the “This time is not different” post on X. After that, I expanded the analysis to large US and European banks in “WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A…
JAPAN POST BANK IS LIKELY GOING TO BE AN EVEN BIGGER PROBLEM FOR THE BOJ THAN NORINCHUKIN BANK
Today, #Norinchukin Bank is starting to be less of an obscure name compared to more than 7 months ago when the #FED quietly added it to the list of counterparts eligible to access the standing Repo Facility the central bank established with the purpose of dealing with emergency liquidity shortfalls…
MEANWHILE STOCKS ENJOY THE HEAVENS, BANKS ARE GOING THROUGH HELL
It’s been some time since I first rang the alarm bell about the crisis unfolding in the Commercial Real Estate sector (#CRE) in the US. Banks’ risk departments were largely ignoring this crisis, an issue I highlighted in my previous post, ”The great paradox of CRE lending: while owners are…
IS THIS HOW BANKS ARE CONCEALING THEIR LOSSES ON SILVER SHORT POSITIONS?
Silver is garnering attention lately, with its price movements suggesting the onset of a short squeeze. Silver is no stranger to dramatic short squeezes. The most notorious silver short squeeze took place in the late 1970s and early 1980s, executed by Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt. These sons…
BECAUSE FOREIGN INVESTORS CANNOT KEEP PACE WITH THE US BALLOONING DEBT, WHY, WITHOUT #FED QE, JANET YELLEN ONLY ALTERNATIVE IS TO FORCE US PEOPLE TO BUY US TREASURIES.
Yesterday, the news that #China PBOC sold its largest amount of US Treasury reserves ever was not a shock. It was expected to happen sooner or later considering the state of the relationship between the two countries lately. Nevertheless, it was big news. At this point, I started to dig…
UBS Q1-24 RESULTS REVIEW – THE “LA LA LAND” BANK
“UBS swings back to profit and smashes earnings expectations for the first quarter”, was the CNBC headline shortly after #UBS Q1-24 results announcement. But what about all other MSM? Everyone, of course, is jumping on the same celebratory bandwagon. I wonder how many of these people influencing markets and sentiment…
IS HSBC CEO “UNEXPECTEDLY” LEAVING BECAUSE THE BANK WON’T BE ABLE TO HIDE ITS PROBLEMS FOR MUCH LONGER?
Did anyone expect HSBC CEO Noel Quinn to step down yesterday? Clearly not: However, a 3 billion$ buyback plus a 21c special dividend announcement sweetened the bitter pill of the CEO’s resignation so much that the investors’ sugar-high reaction was quite remarkable, with the stock closing up 4% and now…
EVERYONE IN UBS IS LOOKING FOR A LIFEBOAT TO ESCAPE THE SINKING TITANIC
As I warned about many times before (#UBS ENCORE SERIES), the rescue of Credit Suisse was surely going to put #UBS in great danger and, as expected, the bank is now going through an existential crisis. The extent of the existential crisis was already clear in their Q4-23 results, where…