Before COVID-19 appeared it was very hard to imagine most of the globe being put under lockdown restrictions that differed in type and tightness country by country right? The last instance the world experienced something similar in terms of mortality, lockdowns, quarantines, and consequent economic disruptions created by all those…
Category:Banks
WHY ARE MARKET MAKERS SELLING INSURANCE ON A ($NYCB) HOUSE THAT’S ALREADY ON FIRE?
By this time, the news of $NYCB closing should have already hit the tape. However, REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THIS NEWS IS POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE, the price of this #stock is MATHEMATICALLY going to crash by 40-50%. Wait, why mathematically? Let me explain. Scenario 1 – A $1bn rescue package for…
IS THE #FED (PERHAPS WILLINGLY) STARTING A BANKING CRISIS TODAY?
In about 24 hours, the “Bank Term Funding Programme”, the infamous #BTFP, will be history. There should not have been any surprise about this if it wasn’t for the fact the banking situation today is much worse than it was one year ago when the #BTFP was launched. How dire…
IS $NYCB THE CANARY IN THE $UBS COAL MINE?
Sorry, folks, but after our beloved Jerome Burns’s performance at the last #FOMC, 2 things are clear: 🚩 The #FED knows they’ve screwed up the fight against #inflation and it’s going to flare back up to a point where (political) adjustment won’t be able to hide what’s obvious in the…
DEAR JEROME BURNS, TODAY YOU MUST TELL THE WORLD WHAT COMES AFTER THE #BTFP…
During the last session, investors piled into financial #stocks with $XLF up 1.26%, and several major banks had a good green day ahead of the next #FOMC. Since October, $XLF is up 24% despite banks’ books starting to have more holes than Emmental cheese 🧀 (and some even starting to…
WITHOUT THE FED BTFP, BANKS WILL NOW HAVE A HARDER TIME TO “HIDE TILL MATURITY” THEIR LOSSES
I started the year writing about how in 2024 the practice used by banks of hiding their losses in Hold to Maturity books (hence “hide till maturity”) would have come to an end [Post Below]. However, I was wrong there, because I wrote this: “As I explained in a post…
TRUIST BANK Q4-23 (INSOLVENCY) SCHIZOPHRENIA?
When was the last time you remember a bank losing $5bn in a quarter, after making $1-1.5bn on average in all recent ones, and jumping almost 5% in price as soon as its #stocks start trading? That’s what happened with $TFC yesterday and in case you haven’t figured it out…
GOLDMAN SACHS – A BIG EPS BEAT ENGINEERED TO HIDE LIQUIDITY STRUGGLES AND A QUESTIONABLE LOAN BOOK?
#GS Q4-23 was quite a spectacular game of smoke and mirrors that, of course, fooled the mainstream media. CNBC – “Goldman Sachs tops revenue estimates on better-than-expected asset management results” WSJ – “Goldman Scores a Win With Sharply Higher Earnings” Let me show you one of the “tricks” they used….
WELLS FARGO – A CASE OF TOO MUCH WINDOW DRESSING AND TOO LITTLE COLLATERAL?
Honestly, at first glance, what #WFC reported for Q4-23 didn’t seem great, but not particularly bad either. Overall, their Q4 seemed quite dull. I was tempted to move on, but as an old habit, I had to read the footnotes first and here we go, I finally came across something…
BANK OF AMERICA WENT “CRAZY” IN Q4 (LITERALLY)
While digging into #BAC‘s Q4-23 financial statements, I couldn’t help but wonder if they had lost their minds during the last three months of 2023. No, I am not referring to the “press release” or the “presentation,” which are usually prepared to “feed” the media rather than provide transparency to…