Finally, here we are with only one day left until the end of the most tragicomic US Presidential campaign ever. So far, investors do not seem too concerned about it, considering the shape of the VIX curve. Yes, some have put some hedging in place, but as you can see,…
Category:FED
THE FED’S HIDDEN QE: HOW BANKS ARE PROPPING UP ASSET PRICES AT THE COST OF FUTURE INFLATION
A few days ago in “EXPOSING THE ILLUSION: HOW MODERN ECONOMICS FUELS WEALTH INEQUALITY AND ZOMBIE MARKETS,” I discussed how current economic theories, often used to guide market decisions, are being contradicted by the actual results they produce. Right now, many are puzzled by how the USD, US yields, and…
HOW THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION SET UP MINE FIELDS ALL OVER THE US ECONOMY TO UNDERMINE THE FUTURE GOVERNMENT IN CASE THEY LOSE ELECTIONS
First of all, for those not familiar with it, let me quickly describe what is a minefield. Literally speaking a minefield is an area planted with explosive devices designed to deter or damage enemy forces, and it is primarily used as a defensive measure to control movement and protect strategic…
MOUNTING SIGNS OF LIQUIDITY PROBLEMS AMONG LARGE US AND UK BANKS
The past week has been incredibly interesting, to say the least. For the first time since the 2020 COVID crisis, we saw the FED Standing Repo Facility being tapped for a significant size by at least one bank (IF “EVERYTHING IS AWESOME” WHY THERE IS AT LEAST ONE LARGE BANK…
IF “EVERYTHING IS AWESOME” WHY THERE IS AT LEAST ONE LARGE BANK THAT COULDN’T FIND LIQUIDITY IN THE OPEN MARKET AND NEEDED IT FROM THE FED?
Yesterday was the end of the third quarter of the year, which means banks (along with brokers and asset managers) were busy “window dressing” their books to make sure they looked as good as possible by the time the quarter-end snapshot of their financials was taken. Bank goals heading toward…
JAPAN ISN’T ALLOWED TO IMPLODE BEFORE US ELECTIONS, BUT NOT EVERYTHING IS UNDER CONTROL AND THE CHANCES FOR A REAL BLACK MONDAY TO SPARK ARE NOT THAT LOW
Last Friday, a few minutes after the Tokyo stock exchange closed for the week, news about Shigeru Ishiba winning the LDP party leadership elections, making him virtually the next Prime Minister, jolted Japan’s futures and FX markets. Why did Japan stock futures crash more than 7% after the news? Because…
HERE COMES THE PANIC – BUT NO WORRIES, IT WILL BE VERY SLOW AT FIRST
A piece of breaking news like this one should have sent markets into panic mode: “China Weighs Injecting $142 Billion of Capital Into Top Banks“. However, due to a boiling frog syndrome that is trapping the vast majority of the public, both retail and professional, no one is feeling the…
FED ACTION TODAY MARKS THE BEGINNING OF THE END OF THE FIAT MONETARY SYSTEM EXPERIMENT
The FED just delivered an oversized cut with the S&P500 trading at all-time highs, signalling that, contrary to their mandate, their focus isn’t the economy anymore but to deliver the political agenda of the US Administration in charge. That the FED is now clearly solely focused on defending the stock…
WHAT IF BANKS ARE COORDINATING WITH THE FED TO LIQUIDATE TENS OF BILLIONS OF TROUBLED JPY CARRY TRADE POSITIONS?
What’s currently happening in markets makes little sense, to say the least, but lately, I received several interesting comments on my posts and articles that brought back memories of my time on the trading floor. One comment last week pointed at the usual practice (an open secret) between banks of…
HOW LONG WILL THIS BUBBLE LAST? IT LOOKS LIKE TILL Q1-2025
“How long will this bubble last” is a question I receive constantly although lately, the frequency has been increasing. My usual answer is “I am afraid, it is impossible to tell”, however I struggled to remove this thought from my mind so I decided to give it a try and…