Navigating a bear market can be daunting, especially if you’re unfamiliar with the signs and strategies to manage your investments during such times. Understanding when a bear market begins, how to trade during its course, and which assets to hold can make a significant difference in protecting your portfolio and…
Category:Financial Analysis
THE NVIDIA FAKE AI NARRATIVE IS OFFICIALLY OVER
This year’s GTC 2025 confirmed what many observers already realized back in January after Jensen Huang’s presentation at CES 2025: the AI Narrative cultivated by Nvidia since 2021 doesn’t trigger the same excitement that it used to anymore. This narrative, based on the prospect of the nearly infinite potential of…
WILL COREWEAVE MARK THE END OF INITIAL FRAUD OFFERINGS?
Recent years have been characterized by an unusual spike in the number of companies listed on the public stock market that ended up filing for Chapter 11 shortly after. Notable cases include WeWork, Lordstown Motors, ELMS, Bird Global, Proterra, and Nikola. While some companies were simply bad businesses, others like…
NVIDIA MANAGERS KNOW LAWSUITS ARE COMING AND ARE PREPARING TO DEFEND THEMSELVES
The latest Nvidia 10-K is not only remarkable for the outstanding results the company achieved in the last fiscal year, a good chunk of which are very questionable as we discussed so many times (archive), but is also remarkable for the significant amount of risk disclosures and legal disclaimers included…
NORINCHUKIN BANK IMPLOSION OFFICIALLY BEGINS
“Is it possible for a bank to continue operating while being insolvent? The answer is yes, and Norinchukin Bank is the best example of it at the moment”. This was how I started my last article on Norinchukin Bank 3 months ago. This is why yesterday I wasn’t surprised at…
THE CONSEQUENCES OF A GOLD TSUNAMI HITTING THE LBMA
The 2013 gold market crash, triggered by a sudden collapse in COMEX futures prices, exposed vulnerabilities in the global gold trading system. At that time, paper gold markets—dominated by futures contracts and speculative trading—overshadowed physical demand, creating a fragile equilibrium. Investors watched in disbelief as prices plummeted nearly 30% in…
HOW SOFTBANK IS FIGHTING BANKRUPTCY
Three months ago, right after SoftBank’s quarterly results for the three months ended in September 2024, I wrote “SOFTBANK IS RUNNING OUT OF CASH, BUT NO WORRIES NVIDIA IS TRYING TO RESCUE IT,” highlighting how Masaponzi Son’s company continues to burn significant amounts of cash. However, a timely announcement of…
THE POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A SHORT SQUEEZE ON BOE GOLD EXPOSURE
Before diving into what’s happening in the gold market, with a particular focus on the Bank of England, let me first share a broader view of the dynamics at play for better understanding. The physical gold market is where people buy and sell real gold in the form of bars,…
WHY THE SITUATION OF UBS IS VERY DANGEROUS
A notification pops up on my phone about UBS’s latest earnings results and how cheerfully the market reacted, sending the stock up ~3% at the opening. As I always do, I go to the company’s investor relations website, download the latest report, and start reading. It didn’t take me long…
CORPORATE BANKRUPTCIES VS BANKS EXPECTED CREDIT LOSSES: TWO PARALLEL WORLDS
The Q4-2024 banks earnings season officially started with JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, BNY Mellon, and Citigroup kicking off the “beat expectations” parade: Between one “Kumbaya!” and a “High Five!”, one small detail across all these earnings reports clashes significantly with reality: provisions for expected credit losses. Before diving…