Right now, the futures market is pricing only a 2.7% probability of seeing the FED delivering a 25bp rate cut in the upcoming meeting. Considering the overall economic situation, my personal view is that the FED should be tightening financial conditions further, not the opposite. However, while US inflation remains…
Category:Financial Analysis
HOW THE UBS TITANIC KEEPS FLOATING DESPITE THE HOLE IN ITS HULL
UBS just delivered another earnings expectations beat, what a surprise right? If it wasn’t for the Swiss regulator, who is aware of the bank’s real condition and doesn’t back off from asking UBS bank management to significantly increase their capital to prepare for potential significant losses (“Switzerland’s Finance Sheriff Takes…
HSBC Q1-25: AN EFFORT TO EAT ITS CAKE AND HAVE IT TOO
HSBC Q1-25 financial earnings have just been released and despite a 25% earnings drop compared to the previous year, the market couldn’t resist rewarding the bank, sending its shares higher (~2% at the moment) for announcing its first interim dividend of 2025 and, most importantly, for increasing its share buyback…
NVIDIA’S ARTIFICIAL EMPIRE IS NOW CRUMBLING
The dominoes are now falling with brutal efficiency. In one devastating week, the U.S. government severed Nvidia’s China revenue artery while TSMC plunged a 30% cost dagger into its margins. This isn’t coincidence – it’s causation. I have warned since 2024 that Nvidia’s “AI supremacy” was a carefully crafted mirage….
BANK OF AMERICA’S Q1-25 EARNINGS: MORE SMOKE AND MIRRORS TO HIDE ITS INSOLVENCY
Bank of America (BAC) just released its Q1 2025 earnings, and if you thought past balance sheet shenanigans were wild, you’re in for another ride. Back in November 2024, in HOW BANK OF AMERICA IS HIDING ITS MOUNTING PROBLEMS BEHIND A MOUNTAIN OF REPURCHASE AGREEMENTS, we discussed how BAC heavily…
DEAR DONALD, THIS BATTLE IS LOST
US Tariffs on China currently stand at 145% after the latest increase from the White House, while nearly every other country has been granted a 90-day pause to either negotiate a deal with the US or prepare for the tariffs’ fallout on their internal economies. On Wednesday, everyone was screaming…
TARIFF WARS: A NEW HOPE
Similar to Luke Skywalker taking a sigh of relief after successfully striking the Death Star, traders all around the world took a deep sigh of relief when the threat of the tariffs’ laser beam pulverizing their wealth did not materialize after a long weekend of “Black Monday is coming!” fear-mongering…
IT WON’T TAKE LONG FOR THIS GOLD RUSH TO TURN INTO PANIC BUYING
Exactly one year ago, on April 1st, 2024, I published the article “AFTER BITCOIN DID IT, NOW GOLD IS SOUNDING THE ALARM“. At that time, when the gold price stood at ~2,300 USD/oz and Bitcoin at ~69,000 USD/BTC (compared to ~3,100 USD/oz and ~83,000 USD/BTC respectively today), I stated: “Now,…
CRYPTO PUMP AND DUMPS: A GUIDE ON HOW TO RECOGNIZE AND AVOID THEM
One month ago, when the LIBRA scandal broke out (“Argentina’s $4.6 Billion Crypto Scandal; Largest-Ever Crypto Theft“), I wrongly assumed that the era of “scam coins” and predatory “pump and dumps” was finally over, considering it was exposed how the whole meme coins casino was actually rigged in favor of…
THE BEAR MARKET STARTED: A GUIDE ON HOW TO NAVIGATE IT
Navigating a bear market can be daunting, especially if you’re unfamiliar with the signs and strategies to manage your investments during such times. Understanding when a bear market begins, how to trade during its course, and which assets to hold can make a significant difference in protecting your portfolio and…