This incoming 15th of March will surely not hold a place in human history like the murder of Julius Caesar; however, the stage is set for what could turn out to be a hell of an eventful “Quadruple witching” #OPEX day. First of all, the darling of the current #stocks…
Category:Financial Analysis
WHY ARE MARKET MAKERS SELLING INSURANCE ON A ($NYCB) HOUSE THAT’S ALREADY ON FIRE?
By this time, the news of $NYCB closing should have already hit the tape. However, REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THIS NEWS IS POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE, the price of this #stock is MATHEMATICALLY going to crash by 40-50%. Wait, why mathematically? Let me explain. Scenario 1 – A $1bn rescue package for…
DEAR ALL, IT WILL ALL END LIKE IN THE MOVIE “INDEPENDENCE DAY”
Yesterday, I watched the opening of #US #stocks trading in literal disbelief as investors stampeded into $NYCB, sending the stock up 15% at some point. The scene reminded me of the movie “Independence Day”, one of my favorites, when you see people dancing on top of buildings right below the…
MORGAN STANLEY – BIG BALANCE SHEET LOSSES HIDDEN BEHIND EXOTIC DERIVATIVES CURTAINS (AGAIN)?
When you’ve spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day, in my case I traded my first stock when I was 11, sometimes you’re able to spot if something suddenly starts behaving weirdly. This is exactly what happened with Morgan Stanley ($MS) in the…
WHAT CAN SAVE #STOCKS FROM A HISTORICAL IMPLOSION ONCE AGAIN?
It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with…
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES HSBC IS INSOLVENT AND FIGHTING A LIQUIDITY CRISIS? – EPISODE 2
In the first episode, we dived into $HSBC’s liquidity issues. Now, it’s time to peek into its lending books to close the circle on this (beyond messy) bank. 🚩 As hinted in my previous post, despite a market increase in total loan exposure (that, for the record, $HSBC mostly blames…
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES $HSBC IS INSOLVENT AND FIGHTING A LIQUIDITY CRISIS?
Apologies for the delay, but it took a while to go through the 450 pages of the $HSBC annual report. 🙏🏻 However, what I am about to show you is worth a huge bucket of 🍿 let’s go. 🚩 #1 – REPO HALLUCINATIONS According to its report, $HSBC should be…
NVIDIA – THE (FRAUD) SMOKING GUN?
As I write, NVIDIA is up 8.56% in After Hours trading after releasing their “monster” Q4-23 results. Compared to the Q3-23 report, there isn’t much change in all the red flags 🚩 I highlighted before [JustDario], but while I was comparing the two, my eye caught something strange. Before I…
NVIDIA, ITS RECYCLED “#AI REVOLUTION” AND THE DARK SIDE OF IT KEPT AWAY FROM THE PUBLIC
NVIDIA convinced everyone that we are just at the beginning of the #AI revolution and its GPUs will sell like hot cakes. Yes, we are at the beginning of the #AI revolution. However, NVIDIA isn’t going to be part of it as much as they (desperately) want people to believe,…
IS $NVDA CURRENTLY EMPLOYING THE SAME ACCOUNTING TRICK TO INFLATE ITS MARGINS IT WAS PREVIOUSLY CAUGHT USING DURING THE DOT-COM BUBBLE?
In March 2011, the $NVDA CFO at that time, David White, suddenly resigned due to “personal reasons”. The company then took 2 years to find its new CFO, Colette Kress, who has remained in the role ever since. In 2011, David White was 55 years old and had only been…