Wow, what a great quarter and great 2024 for #Microsoft, every business (except devices) is growing its revenues and the sun couldn’t be brighter on Redmond, yada yada yada, high five high five. This was pretty much the summary of Microsoft earnings call. Investors’ reaction after earnings release? Microsoft shares…
Category:Financial Analysis
IT HAS NEVER BEEN A BUBBLE IN AI, BUT A PONZI SCHEME IN SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS SINCE THE VERY BEGINNING
How many “AI” companies are currently listed? No, you should not include those “AI washing” their operations and earnings calls in the count. I refer to companies where AI is their core business, like advertising through internet search for Google, for example. Let me help you out, the number is…
IS WARREN BUFFETT STARTING TO BE WORRIED ABOUT BANK OF AMERICA’S SOLVENCY?
Bank of America (#BAC) published its last quarterly financial earnings on July 16, and from the 17th to the 19th, Warren Buffett sold ~34m shares of BAC, cashing out ~1.5bn USD (Buffett’s Berkshire Sells Bank of America Stock Worth $1.5 Billion). Yes, Uncle Warren still holds almost 1 billion BAC…
THE GREAT LIQUIDITY AVALANCHE – FROM MAG7 TO EVERYTHING ELSE?
Every avalanche always starts with that last small drop of a snowflake that makes the whole pack of snow too heavy to stick on the mountain. Since the #FED and fellow Central Banks joined the BOJ in the great money-printing crusade to “save the world” from COVID-19 in March 2020,…
LUCKY TRADES OR DID SOMEONE KNOW ABOUT TRUMP ASSASSINATION PLANS?
“Many observers maintained that the AMR and UAL option activity leading up to September 11 constitutes strong evidence that there had been trading on advance knowledge of the attacks” In “Unusual Option Market Activity and the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001” published in 2006, the author provided a very…
IS SOFTBANK TRYING TO SQUEEZE ARM INTO MAJOR INDEXES TO FORCE PASSIVE INVESTING BIDS AND LIQUIDATE THE STOCK WITHOUT CRASHING IT?
ARM is both a joy and a problem for Softbank, why? On one side, the stock is Masa Son’s current jewel of the crown, but on the other, #Softbank owns 90% of it, precluding them from liquidating the investment and gathering badly needed cash to repay its mounting debt. I…
WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A LIQUIDITY CRISIS? – EPISODE 2
In September 2023, I addressed for the first time the (nasty) topic of #banks’ balance sheet health in the “This time is not different” post on X. After that, I expanded the analysis to large US and European banks in “WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A…
THE STORY OF CREDIT SUISSE, ARCHEGOS, AND A SWAP THAT “SCREAMS” GME
If you are a Prime Broker dealing with a US client involved in “questionable” trading activities in the US, how are you going to deal with that to keep doing business while staying at a safe distance from the US watchdog? Easy, you carry on the business from a different…
WHY WE ARE BUILDING SYNNAX, AND WHY CREDIT INTELLIGENCE IS THE FUTURE
As many of you know, I am quite fond of digging deep into corporate financials. However, there is a physical limit to how much a person can cover. Furthermore, it requires a long time and experience to not miss the nuances of increasingly complex financial reporting documents. Add to this…
THE SILENT “BUY NOW PAY LATER” CANCER SPREADING IN THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Since my first article on the topic several days ago (WHO ARE TODAY’S “NINJA” SUBPRIME LENDERS? SHOCKINGLY… PENSION FUNDS), where I focused on the fact that pension funds are shockingly the predominant buyers of “Buy Now Pay Later” CLOs, I have continued my investigation into this incredibly obscure part of…