Before COVID-19 appeared it was very hard to imagine most of the globe being put under lockdown restrictions that differed in type and tightness country by country right? The last instance the world experienced something similar in terms of mortality, lockdowns, quarantines, and consequent economic disruptions created by all those…
Category:Financial Analysis
#STOCKS IDES OF MARCH – IS FEAR ABOUT TO STAB $NVDA EUPHORIA IN THE BACK?
This incoming 15th of March will surely not hold a place in human history like the murder of Julius Caesar; however, the stage is set for what could turn out to be a hell of an eventful “Quadruple witching” #OPEX day. First of all, the darling of the current #stocks…
WHY ARE MARKET MAKERS SELLING INSURANCE ON A ($NYCB) HOUSE THAT’S ALREADY ON FIRE?
By this time, the news of $NYCB closing should have already hit the tape. However, REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THIS NEWS IS POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE, the price of this #stock is MATHEMATICALLY going to crash by 40-50%. Wait, why mathematically? Let me explain. Scenario 1 – A $1bn rescue package for…
DEAR ALL, IT WILL ALL END LIKE IN THE MOVIE “INDEPENDENCE DAY”
Yesterday, I watched the opening of #US #stocks trading in literal disbelief as investors stampeded into $NYCB, sending the stock up 15% at some point. The scene reminded me of the movie “Independence Day”, one of my favorites, when you see people dancing on top of buildings right below the…
MORGAN STANLEY – BIG BALANCE SHEET LOSSES HIDDEN BEHIND EXOTIC DERIVATIVES CURTAINS (AGAIN)?
When you’ve spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day, in my case I traded my first stock when I was 11, sometimes you’re able to spot if something suddenly starts behaving weirdly. This is exactly what happened with Morgan Stanley ($MS) in the…
WHAT CAN SAVE #STOCKS FROM A HISTORICAL IMPLOSION ONCE AGAIN?
It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with…
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES HSBC IS INSOLVENT AND FIGHTING A LIQUIDITY CRISIS? – EPISODE 2
In the first episode, we dived into $HSBC’s liquidity issues. Now, it’s time to peek into its lending books to close the circle on this (beyond messy) bank. 🚩 As hinted in my previous post, despite a market increase in total loan exposure (that, for the record, $HSBC mostly blames…
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES $HSBC IS INSOLVENT AND FIGHTING A LIQUIDITY CRISIS?
Apologies for the delay, but it took a while to go through the 450 pages of the $HSBC annual report. 🙏🏻 However, what I am about to show you is worth a huge bucket of 🍿 let’s go. 🚩 #1 – REPO HALLUCINATIONS According to its report, $HSBC should be…
NVIDIA – THE (FRAUD) SMOKING GUN?
As I write, NVIDIA is up 8.56% in After Hours trading after releasing their “monster” Q4-23 results. Compared to the Q3-23 report, there isn’t much change in all the red flags 🚩 I highlighted before [JustDario], but while I was comparing the two, my eye caught something strange. Before I…
NVIDIA, ITS RECYCLED “#AI REVOLUTION” AND THE DARK SIDE OF IT KEPT AWAY FROM THE PUBLIC
NVIDIA convinced everyone that we are just at the beginning of the #AI revolution and its GPUs will sell like hot cakes. Yes, we are at the beginning of the #AI revolution. However, NVIDIA isn’t going to be part of it as much as they (desperately) want people to believe,…