Exactly one year ago, on April 1st, 2024, I published the article “AFTER BITCOIN DID IT, NOW GOLD IS SOUNDING THE ALARM“. At that time, when the gold price stood at ~2,300 USD/oz and Bitcoin at ~69,000 USD/BTC (compared to ~3,100 USD/oz and ~83,000 USD/BTC respectively today), I stated: “Now,…
Category:Inflation
DONALD TRUMP IS PLAYING CHESS, NOT CHEQUERS
More than a month ago in “WHY MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN IS SUCH A BAD NEWS FOR MANY (GREEDY) US INVESTORS” I warned about how those companies that would suffer the biggest impact from US tariffs on foreign countries were, paradoxically, US companies. Why? Companies like Apple spent years building…
THE DESPERATE MOVE OF GERMANY’S POLITICIANS
Germany, long regarded as the economic locomotive of Europe, unveiled a 2025 budget plan in July 2024 that raised eyebrows across financial markets (to say the least). With a mix of ambitious spending, fiscal rule-bending, and stubborn adherence to the controversial “debt brake,” the new budget reflected a government grappling…
THE POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A SHORT SQUEEZE ON BOE GOLD EXPOSURE
Before diving into what’s happening in the gold market, with a particular focus on the Bank of England, let me first share a broader view of the dynamics at play for better understanding. The physical gold market is where people buy and sell real gold in the form of bars,…
WHY MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN IS SUCH A BAD NEWS FOR MANY (GREEDY) US INVESTORS
It is no mystery that U.S. companies that produce goods in other countries, like China, and sell them in the U.S., have successfully implemented many strategies over the years to maximize profits while minimizing taxation on their operations, especially profit tax. One common strategy is transfer pricing, which involves setting…
STATE FARM KNEW A LOS ANGELES (FINANCIAL) CATASTROPHE WAS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
Insurance isn’t really an area that I had much interest in, mostly because in the countries where I’ve lived, it has generally been a well-run and stable business. However, the recent Los Angeles wildfires prompted me to look into this sector in California more closely, and what I discovered is…
THE BIG MISUNDERSTANDING ON WHY CHINA BOND YIELDS KEEP FALLING
China’s 10-year government bond yields have just hit a historic low at 1.64%. Despite this downward trend continuing for a while, there is still a great deal of misunderstanding about what’s happening here in the Western part of the world (with many mainstream media and social media “gurus” not missing…
HOW A FIAT CURRENCY SYSTEM DIES OF A THOUSAND CUTS
The result of the US elections should have rung warning bells everywhere in the world, but apparently, it didn’t. Europe, Canada, Japan, South Korea – the list of economies that persist in feeding asset bubbles is long. The US is still part of it, considering the market is forcing (sorry,…
WHY A HEALTHY ECONOMY IS BAD FOR BANKS AND SHADOW BANKS BUSINESSES
Imagine a world where people only spend what they earn or where companies borrow to build new factories and use the additional revenues generated to repay the debt. Imagine a world where you have to plan and save enough money in advance to make an expensive purchase or where governments…
BRACE FOR IMPACT: WHY MARKETS MAY FACE A VOLATILITY STORM AFTER THE 2024 US ELECTION
Finally, here we are with only one day left until the end of the most tragicomic US Presidential campaign ever. So far, investors do not seem too concerned about it, considering the shape of the VIX curve. Yes, some have put some hedging in place, but as you can see,…