Those who have been reading my analysis on the FED and its policies for the past years know that, long ago, I nicknamed Jerome Powell “Jerome Burns”. Why? While leading the Federal Reserve in vastly different economic eras, Jerome Powell and Arthur Burns share significant similarities in their analytical framework…
Category:Inflation
BEYOND THE NIKKEI HIGHS: THE $ 1.9 TRILLION SOLVENCY CRISIS CRIPPLING JAPAN
Almost 6 months ago, I asked this question: “HOW LONG WILL THE BOJ BE ABLE TO AVOID THE COLLAPSE OF A MAJOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTION?” Surely, the central bank of Japan has done a remarkable job so far in keeping big insolvent Japanese financial institutions afloat. However, the constant flow of…
THE FINAL ACT: HOW THE LBMA COULD UNRAVEL
In my previous articles, I have described the gathering storm in the precious metals market. The situation has progressed from a distant warning to an imminent reality. Now, we must confront the most critical question: what happens if the very center of the global gold and silver market, the London…
CENTRAL BANKS ARE DRIVING WHILE LOOKING IN THE REARVIEW MIRROR
The market is currently betting heavily on the FOMC delivering another rate cut in December, and considering the real goal of the Fed and fellow central bankers has been to “assure financial market stability”, not control inflation, assure healthy and homogeneous economic growth, or maintain a resilient job market, it…
WHY SILVER CAN HIT $100 BY MARCH
In the past few days, several people reached out to me asking me to write an article about silver, but initially, I thought I would not have much to add to what I wrote back in June, yes, over 5 months ago, in “THAT SMELL OF SILVER SQUEEZE IN THE…
THE GLOBAL DEBT CRISIS: WHY GOLD KEEPS SHINING WHILE DEBT AND CURRENCIES CRASH
Everyone is now watching long-term government bond yields going through the roof, from Japan to the UK, from France to the US. A few months ago, Wall Street’s analysts’ expectations, along with those of many other “experts” (that I am not sure how they can be defined as such, considering…
WHY, INSTEAD OF FIXING US PROBLEMS, FED RATE CUTS WILL WORSEN THEM
Exactly one year ago, a parade of “experts” was making the rounds on various popular TV networks advocating for a 75 basis point emergency FED rate cut to troubleshoot the crisis in the global JPY carry trade scheme. At that time, traders in the futures market priced a 60% probability…
PLAYING WITH FIRE: TRUMP DANGEROUS PUSH FOR LOWER INTEREST RATES
There is no day now when we do not hear from either Lutnick, Bessent, or Trump himself a verbal broadside towards the Federal Reserve, where, let’s not forget, Donald Trump himself nominated the chairman. Why so much beef against Jerome “Burns” Powell? According to them, the FED should be cutting…
HOW TURKEY ENGINEERED ITS OWN ECONOMIC COLLAPSE AND WHY JAPAN AND UK ARE FOLLOWING ON THE SAME FOOTSTEPS
The Turkish Lesson Turkey’s economic collapse didn’t happen by accident—it was the result of deliberate policy choices that ignored economic fundamentals in favor of political doctrine. For years, President Erdoğan pursued a radical economic experiment that became known as “Erdoganomics”. This strategy was built on the belief that high interest…
TARIFF WARS: THE RETURN OF THE DONALD JEDI
More than 2 months ago in “TARIFF WARS: A NEW HOPE” and “TARIFF WARS: THE EMPIRE STRIKES BACK” I correctly made sense of the overall tariffs mess at the time, but I made a mistake too: I overestimated President Trump’s commitment to do the right thing in the interest of…