Trying to dig deep and understand what happened between the 2nd and 5th of August of such magnitude to trigger a crash in Japanese markets worse than 1987, a name kept being mentioned: “Capula”. Let me be honest, I have never dealt with this hedge fund before, and my direct…
Category:Japan
NORINCHUKIN BANK CHAOS CAN TRIGGER AT ANY MOMENT
I started to cover Norinchukin Bank many months ago already (“WHY IS THE FED PREPARING TO BAIL OUT A JAPANESE BANK? BECAUSE OF THE “NORINCHUKIN” DANGER”) and since then the situation of one of the biggest Japanese banks has become worse and worse: A few weeks ago Norinchukin released its…
IS A LARGE BROKER USING CLIENTS’ FUNDS TO COVER ITS LOSSES?
Even if everything is “back to normal” and everyone is behaving as if the events from two weeks ago were just a bad nightmare, with the VIX free-falling in a way never seen before (from 66 below 18 in 7 trading days, while every time before it took months to…
DEAR BOJ, WHAT’S THIS SOUND ABOUT? “TIC TOC TIC TOC”
On 14 October 2008, the BOJ entered the bailout arena in full force with its “Introduction of Measures regarding Money Market Operations to Ensure Stability in Financial Markets.” Among the four “temporary” initiatives announced, the last one was the most crucial one… and remains the most crucial one today. “Expansion…
THE JPY CARRY TRADE IMPLOSION CONTAGION IS ALREADY SPREADING INTO THE UK
While doing my best to untangle the mess of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), in particular, to figure out which financial institution/s could be in danger after what happened on Monday this week, I stumbled upon something very interesting. Please have a look. This chart represents the Bank of England…
THE LONGER THE BOJ TAKES TO CUT RATES BACK TO ZERO THE GREATER THE DAMAGE TO JAPAN’S BANKING SYSTEM.
On Monday last week in my preview of FOMC and BOJ policy meetings “FED AND BOJ WILL DO EVERYTHING THEY CAN THIS WEEK TO SAVE THE STOCKS BUBBLE ONCE AGAIN” I assumed the BOJ would be cognizant of the overall situation, hence I saw zero possibilities they would have hiked…
DID A CREDIT EVENT TRIGGER ON MONDAY? THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE TO KNOW THE ANSWER IN THE FOLLOWING HOURS
I wonder why not many people are currently asking themselves a very simple question: “Who lost money in #Japan’s stock market crash between Friday and Monday?” One very peculiar thing about the 1987 crash is that many brokerages went bust. So how is it possible that Japan suffered a stock…
THIS IS NOT 1987, 2000, 2008 OR 2020, BUT A WHOLE NEW MARKET MONSTER
These days there are a lot of comparisons being made with what happened in previous financial crises that unfolded after times of irrational exuberance and reckless monetary policy, but many are failing to grasp how the current situation is hardly comparable to what happened in the past for many reasons….
IN JAPAN IT WILL BE A MESSY MONDAY, BUT NOT A BLACK ONE (YET)
When you go from “Japan’s Nikkei average closes at all-time high, breaks March record” to “Japan stocks take largest dive since Black Monday of 1987” in the span of a month, it already creates the type of roundtrip that leaves everyone pretty dizzy. The problem is the trip is far…
A TRAVELER GUIDE TO NAVIGATE THE BANK OF JAPAN MESS
First of all, let’s do a quick recap of how we got here: At this point, something very important happens. On the 30th of July, right after US stocks opened for cash trading, someone very big was clearly being margin called and liquidated as I warned in this post here…