More than one year ago in the article “IS THIS HOW BANKS ARE CONCEALING THEIR LOSSES ON SILVER SHORT POSITIONS?” I first tried to bring attention to several anomalies happening in the Silver market that could only be explained by active price manipulation activities on LBMA and COMEX contracts. Why…
Category:Macro
IS THIS A MINSKY MOMENT FOR US TREASURIES?
Something special happened today, or to be precise, did not happen. As Israel started its new military campaign against Iran, all risk assets in financial markets started to dive, from stock futures to crypto. Understandably, oil prices started to spike in what can potentially become a “VAR shock” event if…
CRYPTO WEB3: A BUSTED BUBBLE OR AN EPIC ONE ABOUT TO BEGIN?
Altcoin season refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins), any digital assets besides Bitcoin, significantly outperform Bitcoin in price appreciation and trading volume. This phase is characterized by a surge in capital flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins, leading to rapid, often exponential, gains across a…
THE AI END GAME: WINNER TAKES IT ALL AND EVERYONE ELSE LOSES MASSIVELY
As per the most recent estimates, Google Search accounts for ~90% of all online searches worldwide and ~27.7% of total digital advertising revenues, followed closely in second place by Meta with ~26.8%. The global advertising revenue market surpassed 1 trillion USD for the first time in 2024 (Global ad revenue…
SECTION 899: THE NUCLEAR TARIFF
Everyone is familiar with the very large black bulky bag carried around by a U.S. military serviceman who isn’t more than a few steps away from the U.S. president at any time. Soon, a new red button will be added to the “Football”. Nuclear weapons are a deterrent meant not…
THE PERFECT STORM IS NOW STARTING TO HIT JAPAN’S FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Imagine a whole financial system (banks, insurances, and pension funds) that for decades never second-guessed the solvency and liquidity of its own country’s government bonds because no matter what, its central bank was always ready to show a bid in case there were no takers in the market. What I…
STRAP ON FOLKS, BOND VIGILANTES ARE NOW IN THE DRIVING SEAT!
Back in August last year I wrote the article “IF THE FED CUTS RATES, THE DAMAGES WILL BE FAR GREATER THAN THE BENEFITS” to deliver the following warnings: “To all those who advocate rate cuts because those will benefit the economy, I dare to ask where exactly the economy will…
WHY BITCOIN ISN’T JUST A CRYPTOCURRENCY ANYMORE BUT MORE AND MORE AN ASSET ON ITS OWN
Back in September last year in “IS THIS BLACKROCK’S MASTER PLAN FOR BITCOIN?” I described how the investment powerhouse BlackRock was laying the ground to make Bitcoin the golden goose and growth engine for its operations in the near future, considering how mature all other asset classes within the manager’s…
TARIFF WARS ARE OVER FOR NOW, BUT NEVERTHELESS THE INFLATION SPIRAL WILL CONTINUE
One month ago in the article “DEAR DONALD, THIS BATTLE IS LOST” this is what I suggested the US administration should have done to salvage the situation: “What should the US do now? Instead of borrowing a page from -The Art Of The Deal-, Donald Trump should consider reading Sun…
DRUMS OF WAR, KUMBAYA AND THE ART OF THE CONFUSION
The comparison between India’s and Pakistan’s stock markets perfectly illustrates the current state of financial markets, not only in the region but across the world. Let’s start with the smaller picture, where we find two nuclear-armed countries bombing each other this week, yet only one country’s stock market “noticed” while…