These days there are a lot of comparisons being made with what happened in previous financial crises that unfolded after times of irrational exuberance and reckless monetary policy, but many are failing to grasp how the current situation is hardly comparable to what happened in the past for many reasons….
Category:Markets
IN JAPAN IT WILL BE A MESSY MONDAY, BUT NOT A BLACK ONE (YET)
When you go from “Japan’s Nikkei average closes at all-time high, breaks March record” to “Japan stocks take largest dive since Black Monday of 1987” in the span of a month, it already creates the type of roundtrip that leaves everyone pretty dizzy. The problem is the trip is far…
A TRAVELER GUIDE TO NAVIGATE THE BANK OF JAPAN MESS
First of all, let’s do a quick recap of how we got here: At this point, something very important happens. On the 30th of July, right after US stocks opened for cash trading, someone very big was clearly being margin called and liquidated as I warned in this post here…
IT HAS NEVER BEEN A BUBBLE IN AI, BUT A PONZI SCHEME IN SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS SINCE THE VERY BEGINNING
How many “AI” companies are currently listed? No, you should not include those “AI washing” their operations and earnings calls in the count. I refer to companies where AI is their core business, like advertising through internet search for Google, for example. Let me help you out, the number is…
WHAT BULL MARKET? ALL-TIME HIGH DESPAIR AMONG BANKERS
Three months ago, before Q1-24 banks’ earnings season kicked off, I collected all feedback gathered from bank insiders in “GET READY, INSIDERS TOLD ME A HORRIBLE BANKS’ EARNINGS SEASON IS ABOUT TO BEGIN”. However, banks put on a great show of accounting acrobatics and magic tricks to make sure they…
IS WARREN BUFFETT STARTING TO BE WORRIED ABOUT BANK OF AMERICA’S SOLVENCY?
Bank of America (#BAC) published its last quarterly financial earnings on July 16, and from the 17th to the 19th, Warren Buffett sold ~34m shares of BAC, cashing out ~1.5bn USD (Buffett’s Berkshire Sells Bank of America Stock Worth $1.5 Billion). Yes, Uncle Warren still holds almost 1 billion BAC…
THE GREAT LIQUIDITY AVALANCHE – FROM MAG7 TO EVERYTHING ELSE?
Every avalanche always starts with that last small drop of a snowflake that makes the whole pack of snow too heavy to stick on the mountain. Since the #FED and fellow Central Banks joined the BOJ in the great money-printing crusade to “save the world” from COVID-19 in March 2020,…
GOLDMAN SACHS Q2-24: WHAT A (RIDICULOUS) FAIRY TALE
A few weeks ago Goldman Sachs (#GS) performed poorly in the #FED annual stress tests, and since then, the bank has been fighting against its regulator’s request to increase the capital being held on the balance sheet (Goldman Sachs faces uphill battle in dispute with Federal Reserve over stress test)….
LUCKY TRADES OR DID SOMEONE KNOW ABOUT TRUMP ASSASSINATION PLANS?
“Many observers maintained that the AMR and UAL option activity leading up to September 11 constitutes strong evidence that there had been trading on advance knowledge of the attacks” In “Unusual Option Market Activity and the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001” published in 2006, the author provided a very…
NOT ONLY IS NORINCHUKIN ABOUT TO LIVE THROUGH THE 2008 NIGHTMARE AGAIN, BUT MANY JAPANESE BANKS ARE IN THE SAME SITUATION
In the article “How Japan’s farmers and fishermen backed the leveraged loan boom” published more than 5 years ago, the FT tried, through the teeth, to sound the alarm on #Norinchukin Bank’s out-of-control buying spree of Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs). The bank was such a key player in the market…