It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with…
Category:Markets
HOW CAN THE #FED BAILOUT BANKS WHEN THIS TIME IT NEEDS A BAILOUT ITSELF TO BEGIN WITH?
Even if blessed with superpowers, in particular, the one of printing infinite money, the Federal Reserve is ultimately a “Bank” and like every superhero has a weak spot like Kryptonite for Superman. Being a “Bank”, hence required to remain solvent, is paradoxically the #FED’s weakness. Let me explain: 1 –…
“WE HAVE NO ALTERNATIVE BUT TO RIDE STOCKS UNTIL THEY RUN”
Yesterday, I spent the evening with a good old friend, now a senior manager in a big financial firm, whom I will label as “Manager X” going forward. I believe some parts of our conversation will be interesting to everyone, my summary below 🙏🏻 1 – Why is there no…
THE PILE OF LIES USED TO RAISE THIS #STOCKS BULL MARKET UP TO THE SKY IS NOT WITHSTANDING GRAVITY ANYMORE
From $NVDA to Janet Yellen, from $AAPL to Jerome Powell, from $SMCI to Gary Gensler, from Joe Biden to the #BLS, from Rishi Sunak to $HSBC, from Christine Lagarde to #GermanRealEstate, from the #BOJ to $GOOG and on and on. What do all those I mentioned have in common? They…
THE (FAKE) NARRATIVE THAT FUELED THE BREAKNECK #STOCKS RALLY SINCE LAST OCTOBER JUST CRUMBLED – WHAT HAPPENS NOW?
To anyone who lives in the real world, it has always been clear that #inflation wasn’t truly cooling down as the official (politically adjusted) CPI data pretended to portray (TwitterX). If you want to have a live snapshot of the distorted reality “economists” see from the high rise ivory towers…
THE SEC IS NOW THE GATEKEEPER OF AN ASYLUM WITH A NUCLEAR REACTOR AT ITS CENTER
The #SEC was established in the aftermath of the 1929 crash to prevent a similar disaster from happening again, right? For those who don’t know, these are the two pillars on which the US Congress drafted and passed the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934:…
THE SHOW MUST GO ON… UNTIL THE END
The famous Queen’s song is a perfect fit as the soundtrack of the current stock market, isn’t it? Anything that doesn’t fit the (manic) #fomo narrative must be ignored, even though the giant 560bn $USD size #CRE Elephant in the room is now patting people on the shoulder. What’s that…
TRADERS AND (ZOMBIE) COMPANIES NOW PRAYING #INFLATION IS NOT COMING BACK
The text discusses concerns about a potential resurgence of inflation, challenging the notion that central banks have successfully tamed it. Recent UK inflation data for December suggests a possible upward trend, prompting questions about the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting plans. Bond traders are adjusting their bets, and the author predicts a likely rise in interest rates unless a significant event disrupts the current pattern. The impending maturity of substantial debt in 2024 adds pressure on yields. Regarding stocks, the author questions the bullish outlook, considering the impact of rising rates and the potential for another crisis. The conclusion advises caution and suggests buying insurance amid market uncertainties.
NOT THE START OF THE YEAR EVERYONE EXPECTED. A “LIFETIME #BTFD OPPORTUNITY” OR BETTER TO BE CAREFUL?
Let’s be honest, no one would have bet on all the #Mag7 #stocks to close red on the first trading day of 2024, led by #AAPL down 3.58% (and it could have been worse without that relief #7bn MOC #stocks pump that put some lipstick on the #Nasdaq pig snouts…
DID THE MARKETS JUST HIT A SPEED BUMP OR A WALL?
US CPI came in hot, to the surprise of many, but not us, as we have been talking about this for the past 3 weeks, right? (TwitterX). What honestly surprised me is that #stocks didn’t manage to follow the usual script once the latest US CPI was released, although they…