During 2023, we have discussed so often how (ridiculously insolvent) banks have made extensive use of “Hold To Maturity” accounting to the point that it is now more appropriate to rename it “Hide Till Maturity” (TwitterX). Dump any asset with a market value implying a steep loss in the HTM…
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WHY IS THE FED PREPARING TO BAIL OUT A JAPANESE BANK? BECAUSE OF THE “NORINCHUKIN” DANGER
First of all, who the hell is the latest counterpart added to the #FED Standing Repo Facility: “Norinchukin Bank”? “Officially,” it is a Cooperative Bank owned by Japanese agricultural, fishery, forestry cooperatives in #Japan. Yes, that’s right, an “agricultural” bank from Japan got a seat at the #FED big boys…
YES – THEY ARE IN COMPLETE PANIC
One month ago, I wrote about the “PANIC BEHIND CLOSED DOOR” (TwitterX), and at that time, I literally said: “Imagine what would happen to Joe Biden’s approval rating if the #stocks bubble he inflated to the stratosphere implodes right now. With Jerome out of the game, Joe needed his Janet…
WHICH BANKS ARE AT RISK OF GOING BUST IN A LIQUIDITY CRISIS BECAUSE ALREADY (RIDICULOUSLY) INSOLVENT?
Thank you for waiting, but I assure you what follows isn’t going to disappoint you! Two months ago in “This time is NOT different – Part 2,” I flagged how my analysis at that time flashed (big) red warnings on several US banks (TwitterX). My analysis today will expand on…
THE RISK OF A $VIX TURKEY BURSTING OUT FROM THE (SOFTBANK) OVEN
Something happened yesterday that has been broadly ignored: the Bank Of Japan printed ~10bn $USD equivalent in $JPY and delivered an adrenaline shot of liquidity to the market. Hold on a second, why the need to inject liquidity through the back door without any apparent need? The answer is straightforward:…
$NVDA (PONZI) “LIES” UNDER $NVDA NOSE
I know a couple of things here and there about running a company, from work and direct experience. One thing is how easy it is to “grow” your revenues when your clients aren’t going to pay for the goods you deliver. Another is to understand whether revenues are real or…
IN A SCRAMBLE TO SURVIVE, SOFTBANK IS KILLING ALIBABA!
$BABA closed the last session crashing 9% after results beating expectations across the board, leaving many dumbfounded. Of course, the media quickly made up a narrative to write a story that could more or less fit the price action: “Alibaba crashes after pulling its Cloud Unit listing due to US…
WARNING: SOMETHING BROKE!
Yesterday, we were discussing the signs of “Panic behind closed doors” (TwitterX), today we have 100% certainty that something big enough to justify extreme actions from the US Government and US Regulatory Agencies broke somewhere. How else we can justify the SEC is still holding back the “Fails To Deliver…
PANIC BEHIND CLOSED DOORS
So, as I wrote 24h ago, it was clear to anyone paying attention that the Bank Of Japan put itself in a very dangerous spot (TwitterX). Back in 1992, when the Bank Of England was in danger, the Bundesbank cut rates 25bp even if it didn’t make any sense for…
NOW THE HEDGE FUNDS (HYENAS) KNOW THE #BOJ (LION) IS VULNERABLE!
A big powerful “Minsky Moment” struck many investors, including me, around 10am EST on Monday when the last #BOJ intervention barely moved the needle in the FX market. If you think the BOJ can simply hike rates to strengthen the $JPY, then you don’t realize that when a central bank…