Goldman Sachs just released its Q1-24 results and, of course, they beat expectations. Nothing less could be expected from the “best in its league” right? Well, if you pay attention to details, #GS financials are less and less shiny (and increasingly worth paying attention to). Once again, #GS cherry-picked the…
Category:Stocks
HOW TO MANAGE YOUR INVESTMENTS AND FINANCES RISK WHEN YOU GET CAUGHT TOTALLY UNPREPARED
Observing what happened in the past 72 hours was very fascinating, to say the least. First, pretty much no one gave credit to Iran’s threats, then no one gave credit to US administration warnings and ultimately, when Iran pulled the trigger, everyone quickly dismissed the risk of a retaliatory strike…
GET READY, INSIDERS TOLD ME A HORRIBLE BANKS’ EARNINGS SEASON IS ABOUT TO BEGIN
JP Morgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and State Street will all kick off Q1-24 banks’ earnings season on Friday (or today for those of us based in Asia like me) before US #stocks cash trading opens. As I mentioned in my article earlier this week (link), for Q1-24 banks are already…
WHILE YOU WILL BE WAITING FOR THE US-ELESS CPI, IT LOOKS LIKE “SOMEONE” IS AT RISK TO BLOW UP (AGAIN)
What the hell happened at 10:22 AM Eastern Time? Something snapped, and you can see that without a shadow of a doubt in the #VIX chart. However, as you can see, I highlighted a smaller snap that occurred right at the start of US #stocks cash trading. At the very…
STOCKS’ PURSUIT OF HAPPINESS: IGNORE EVERYTHING, EVEN THE BASIC LAWS OF FINANCIAL GRAVITY
The discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation model is a fundamental tool used in finance to estimate the intrinsic value of a company based on its expected future cash flows. It is based on the “time value of money” — the basic law of finance (a dollar received in the future…
IS IT FINALLY VIX SHOWTIME?
Yield harvesting through options selling, a trade now popular even with grandmas growing pumpkins in their backyard is one of those “sure things” that the more popular it becomes, the more it creates price distortions. These distortions can end up giving a false sense of safety to many people while…
NOW MORE AND MORE PEOPLE REALISE WHEN YOU CHASE UNREALISTIC EXPECTATIONS, YOU ARE INVESTING IN HALLUCINATIONS.
In December, people were literally salivating, dreaming of the flood of liquidity six #FED rate cuts would have delivered to the market in 2024. Fast forward 3 months into 2024, the expectations now are for 2 rate cuts and falling. Was the expectation of six #FED FF rate cuts unrealistic?…
CAREFUL ABOUT RECEDING TIDES, A TSUNAMI MIGHT BE ABOUT TO HIT (#STOCKS)
On Monday, the overall volume traded on the S&P500 was about 50% of the average daily volumes of the past 3 months. What about the Nasdaq100? Incredibly, the volume traded on the index on Monday was ~14% of the average traded volume of the past 3 months. Let’s look a…
IS #CHINA ABOUT TO HIT #US WHERE IT WILL HURT THE MOST?
Since last Thursday, a strange tension could be sensed on trading floors in Hong Kong and China, then on Friday, the $CNY suddenly sold off against the $USD. While the event has been greatly overlooked so far by investors, it might have been a pretty loud warning about the next…
THE NEW #FOMC MANDATE IS NOW OFFICIAL: SAVE THE #STOCKS BUBBLE AT ALL COSTS!
Let’s give a round of applause to Jerome Burns (aka Jerome Powell) for his incredible confidence in saying things like “#inflation is showing some seasonality that doesn’t change its downward trend”. First of all, can someone remind him that what he has been commenting on in the last 6 years…