Many investors and traders aren’t enjoying this weekend after what happened on Friday following the US NFP release. The immediate market reaction was, as usual, positive, with trading algorithms flooding US futures with bids while dumping volatility hedging, simultaneously crushing the VIX almost vertically from ~22.3 to ~19. However, the…
Category:Stocks
THE US YIELD CURVE IS SCREAMING “DANGER!” AND ONCE AGAIN NOBODY IS LISTENING
The U.S. Treasury yield curve is one of the most important indicators in global financial markets, serving as a reflection of investors’ sentiment, economic outlook, and central bank policy. By plotting the yields of government bonds across different maturities, the yield curve provides insight into the direction of interest rates,…
NVIDIA WON’T CRASH MARKETS TOO MUCH BECAUSE TRADERS HAVE A BURNING HOUSE STILL STANDING WHERE THEY CAN HIDE
I bet very few noticed this: while NVIDIA and fellow bubbly tech stocks are having quite a hard time, banks, especially large ones, are actually showing remarkable strength in the 3rd quarter of 2024. Shocking, isn’t it? Back in February when I wrote “WE HAVE NO ALTERNATIVE BUT TO RIDE…
HOW THE US TREASURY HAS BEEN ACTIVELY CONTRIBUTING TO INFLATE THE STOCK BUBBLE, BUT NOW IS RUNNING OUT OF ROOM TO DO SO
So many people lately have been talking and writing a lot about the US Treasury “Buy Back” program officially started in May this year with the excuse of improving liquidity in the US Treasuries market (Debt buyback program set to improve liquidity, says US Treasury official). However, what many fail…
NVIDIA TRICK TO AVOID REGULATORS’ SCRUTINY: PAY MORE TAXES
Here we are with another episode of the NVIDIA saga when I thought we already brought to light all that was possible, but I was wrong. One important thing to highlight is that in its latest 10-Q NVIDIA did quite a good deal of “cleaning”. What am I referring to?…
“HYPERSCALERS” OR “HYPERCHEATERS”? – ADDING HINDENBURG PIECE TO THE BIG PONZI PUZZLE WE HAVE BEEN PUTTING TOGETHER TILL NOW WHILE WAITING FOR NVIDIA EARNINGS
As as soon as Hindenburg Research’s (a famous short-selling hedge fund) piece “Super Micro: Fresh Evidence Of Accounting Manipulation, Sibling Self-Dealing And Sanctions Evasion At This AI High Flyer” was published I started to be flooded with notifications about it and when I picked up my phone, I have to…
HOW COULD JAPAN RECOVER SO FAST FROM THE WORST CRASH SINCE 1987? THANKS TO ITS GPIF “ANGEL”
No person can pretend to know everything; it is simply not humanly possible. If anyone claims to do so, more often than not, they actually know little in reality. Personally, I use an investigative approach in everything I do, most of all to fill the gaps in my ignorance. This…
IF JPY CARRY TRADE TROUBLES SPOIL THE UPCOMING NVIDIA PARTY, GET READY FOR A SPIKE IN VOLATILITY
From a fundamental perspective, no matter from which angle you look at it, NVIDIA should be nowhere near its current price for a number of reasons, most of which are shady, to say the least, we discussed so far: However, here we are with a 3 trillion-plus market cap stock…
THE LARGE AND SECRETIVE UK HEDGE FUND “ADDICTED” TO JPY CARRY TRADING
Trying to dig deep and understand what happened between the 2nd and 5th of August of such magnitude to trigger a crash in Japanese markets worse than 1987, a name kept being mentioned: “Capula”. Let me be honest, I have never dealt with this hedge fund before, and my direct…
IF THE FED CUTS RATES, THE DAMAGES WILL BE FAR GREATER THAN THE BENEFITS
Two weeks ago, traders assigned a 60% probability to a FED emergency rate cut, potentially up to 75 basis points. Let me stress this point: an emergency rate cut isn’t an ordinary one. What was the “emergency” that required such a swift and powerful action from the FED two weeks…