Have you noticed how large companies are increasingly announcing initiatives and projects without well-defined business plans or existing funding, which are expected to generate results several years in the future? Have you observed how many large companies are launching products with claimed huge sales potentials that never materialize? The beyond…
Category:Daily
Daily post about finance and breaking news
HOW IS SCOTT BESSENT GOING TO DEAL WITH THE BANK OF JAPAN?
The next BOJ policy rate decision is approaching and, of course, much speculation surrounds it. I will not join the crowd because regardless of what happens next, it won’t change Japan’s fate in the medium to long term, as I have already discussed in these articles: The BOJ decision will…
CORPORATE BANKRUPTCIES VS BANKS EXPECTED CREDIT LOSSES: TWO PARALLEL WORLDS
The Q4-2024 banks earnings season officially started with JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, BNY Mellon, and Citigroup kicking off the “beat expectations” parade: Between one “Kumbaya!” and a “High Five!”, one small detail across all these earnings reports clashes significantly with reality: provisions for expected credit losses. Before diving…
THE COUNTDOWN TO NVIDIA PROFIT WARNING
A very important event occurred on May 6th, 2022, that many NVIDIA investors are unaware of: “SEC Charges NVIDIA Corporation with Inadequate Disclosures about Impact of Cryptomining“ Let’s examine what Nvidia did, shall we? These words come directly from the SEC. As incredible as it sounds, Chief Kristina Littman stated:…
STATE FARM KNEW A LOS ANGELES (FINANCIAL) CATASTROPHE WAS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
Insurance isn’t really an area that I had much interest in, mostly because in the countries where I’ve lived, it has generally been a well-run and stable business. However, the recent Los Angeles wildfires prompted me to look into this sector in California more closely, and what I discovered is…
THE CENTRAL BANK “KING” IS MORE AND MORE “NAKED”
“Why are central banks cutting rates while yields are going up? How is this possible?” This is the question many people are asking themselves at the moment. Surprisingly, those experiencing the highest degree of confusion and bewilderment appear to be institutional investors rather than retail investors. The reason is that…
MICROSOFT BET THE FARM ON OPENAI, BUT IT LOST THE BET
Roughly 24 hours ago, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman first published a long blog post to celebrate 2 years since the launch of ChatGPT (Blog Post), then shortly after, this post appeared on X: This post is the incredible confirmation of what we observed two weeks ago in “MICROSOFT CEO KNOWS…
THE BIG MISUNDERSTANDING ON WHY CHINA BOND YIELDS KEEP FALLING
China’s 10-year government bond yields have just hit a historic low at 1.64%. Despite this downward trend continuing for a while, there is still a great deal of misunderstanding about what’s happening here in the Western part of the world (with many mainstream media and social media “gurus” not missing…
WHAT IF MICROSTRATEGY BECOMES TOO BIG TO FAIL?
After markets closed on December 23rd, MicroStrategy shocked the world by filing a proposal to increase its number of authorized Class A shares by a staggering 10 billion, equivalent to approximately 97% dilution for current shareholders (SEC Filing). Crazy, isn’t it? Indeed, but there’s definitely more to this than meets…
THE RACE AGAINST TIME TO DEFUSE ANOTHER INCOMING VOLMAGEDDON
What can go wrong when call options written on $6 trillion worth of notional expire simultaneously? Today will be the largest OPEX expiry ever, with equity options tied to a total of $6.6 trillion worth of notional expiring simultaneously. What’s special about this OPEX besides its enormous size? For every…