By this time, the news of $NYCB closing should have already hit the tape. However, REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THIS NEWS IS POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE, the price of this #stock is MATHEMATICALLY going to crash by 40-50%. Wait, why mathematically? Let me explain. Scenario 1 – A $1bn rescue package for…
Category:Educational
NVIDIA CAN CRASH 20% ON MONDAY AND NOBODY SHOULD BE SURPRISED ABOUT THAT
If you think that Nvidia got where it is today because of its fundamental valuations, I am sorry but you might want to revise what “fundamental analysis” stands for. It’s no secret anymore that the company has been using borderline legal accounting shenanigans and commercial practices to report much higher…
DEAR ALL, IT WILL ALL END LIKE IN THE MOVIE “INDEPENDENCE DAY”
Yesterday, I watched the opening of #US #stocks trading in literal disbelief as investors stampeded into $NYCB, sending the stock up 15% at some point. The scene reminded me of the movie “Independence Day”, one of my favorites, when you see people dancing on top of buildings right below the…
HOW CAN THE #FED BAILOUT BANKS WHEN THIS TIME IT NEEDS A BAILOUT ITSELF TO BEGIN WITH?
Even if blessed with superpowers, in particular, the one of printing infinite money, the Federal Reserve is ultimately a “Bank” and like every superhero has a weak spot like Kryptonite for Superman. Being a “Bank”, hence required to remain solvent, is paradoxically the #FED’s weakness. Let me explain: 1 –…
“WE HAVE NO ALTERNATIVE BUT TO RIDE STOCKS UNTIL THEY RUN”
Yesterday, I spent the evening with a good old friend, now a senior manager in a big financial firm, whom I will label as “Manager X” going forward. I believe some parts of our conversation will be interesting to everyone, my summary below 🙏🏻 1 – Why is there no…
WHY ALL OF A SUDDEN ARE SO MANY HIGH PROFILE INSIDERS SELLING THEIR #STOCKS?
Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Jamie Dimon, the Walton family, $AMD CEO Lisa Su are just some of the high profile insiders that have been selling big chunks of their #stocks in recent weeks. If you take a snapshot of insider volumes in the last 60 days (chart 1 – credit…
THE GREAT PARADOX – BECAUSE OF DECADES OF RECKLESS QE, CENTRAL BANKS SHOULD HIKE RATES TO SAVE THE *REAL* ECONOMY NOT THE OPPOSITE
How many people have you read about or heard from lately who told you things like “hey, I am taking my savings and investing in this restaurant” or “I am so good at my job I quit and set up my own shop”? I bet very few. Indeed, new business…
THE #STOCKS HOUSE OF CARDS IS WOBBLING… AGAIN
Between the end of September and the beginning of October 2023, the #MOAB (Mother of All Bubbles) house of cards was dangerously wobbling. In a great coup de theatre, Jerome Burns managed to pull a “FED ghost pivot” 🐇 out of his magic hat, which sent everyone on a #FOMO…
JENSEN HUANG? MASA SON? LISA SU? – WHO IS “THE SMARTEST ONE IN THE ROOM”?
The name Enron keeps popping up in front of me lately, and yes, it’s very easy to draw comparisons between that fraud and many companies awkwardly showing similar stock price behaviours today (latest one in the post below). What I am going to do today is present you with all…