This week we are going to have such a parade of central bank decisions on the menu: #RBA, #BOJ, #FOMC, #BOE, and #SNB 😵💫 All eyes will surely be on the #BOJ and the #FOMC. I do expect they will play “good cop bad cop” with market emotions. 🤭 The…
Category:FED
IS THE #FED (PERHAPS WILLINGLY) STARTING A BANKING CRISIS TODAY?
In about 24 hours, the “Bank Term Funding Programme”, the infamous #BTFP, will be history. There should not have been any surprise about this if it wasn’t for the fact the banking situation today is much worse than it was one year ago when the #BTFP was launched. How dire…
WHAT CAN SAVE #STOCKS FROM A HISTORICAL IMPLOSION ONCE AGAIN?
It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with…
HOW CAN THE #FED BAILOUT BANKS WHEN THIS TIME IT NEEDS A BAILOUT ITSELF TO BEGIN WITH?
Even if blessed with superpowers, in particular, the one of printing infinite money, the Federal Reserve is ultimately a “Bank” and like every superhero has a weak spot like Kryptonite for Superman. Being a “Bank”, hence required to remain solvent, is paradoxically the #FED’s weakness. Let me explain: 1 –…
THE GREAT PARADOX – BECAUSE OF DECADES OF RECKLESS QE, CENTRAL BANKS SHOULD HIKE RATES TO SAVE THE *REAL* ECONOMY NOT THE OPPOSITE
How many people have you read about or heard from lately who told you things like “hey, I am taking my savings and investing in this restaurant” or “I am so good at my job I quit and set up my own shop”? I bet very few. Indeed, new business…
THE #STOCKS HOUSE OF CARDS IS WOBBLING… AGAIN
Between the end of September and the beginning of October 2023, the #MOAB (Mother of All Bubbles) house of cards was dangerously wobbling. In a great coup de theatre, Jerome Burns managed to pull a “FED ghost pivot” 🐇 out of his magic hat, which sent everyone on a #FOMO…
WE JUST WATCHED JEROME POWELL “WALKING ON EGGS” FOR #60MINUTES!
Today, Jerome Powell reminded everyone why he fully deserves to be called Jerome Burns instead (in honor of the #FED chairman Arthur Burns, the one that couldn’t get anything right). For the entire length of his 60 Minutes interview, you can really understand: 🚩The #FED chair denies being a politician,…
WHY IS THE FED PREPARING TO BAIL OUT A JAPANESE BANK? BECAUSE OF THE “NORINCHUKIN” DANGER
First of all, who the hell is the latest counterpart added to the #FED Standing Repo Facility: “Norinchukin Bank”? “Officially,” it is a Cooperative Bank owned by Japanese agricultural, fishery, forestry cooperatives in #Japan. Yes, that’s right, an “agricultural” bank from Japan got a seat at the #FED big boys…
PANIC BEHIND CLOSED DOORS
So, as I wrote 24h ago, it was clear to anyone paying attention that the Bank Of Japan put itself in a very dangerous spot (TwitterX). Back in 1992, when the Bank Of England was in danger, the Bundesbank cut rates 25bp even if it didn’t make any sense for…