I lost count of how many articles, posts, and analyses I have written over too many years documenting what was REALLY happening in the AI space, as opposed to what was happening according to the fantasies and stories broadcast non-stop by all actors with various degrees of vested interest in…
Category:Financial Analysis
NVIDIA IS NOW VERY CLOSE TO HITTING THE CIRCULAR FINANCING BRICK WALL
Two years ago, I wrote the article “NO, NVIDIA IS ONLY ONE PIECE OF A BIGGER (FRAUDULENT) PUZZLE”, trying to shine a light on what, two years later, became the biggest circular financing scheme in the history of financial markets. Since what I was describing at the time was hard…
SILVER: THE BEST TIME TO OWN IT, WORST TIME TO TRADE IT
What a great day Monday was for Silver investors, with the metal trading as high as 87$, up more than 7% on the day, while the rest of the market, from gold, to bonds, to stocks, was broadly flat. While I’m feeling pretty happy about the nominal gains in my…
IS THE OPENAI CHICKEN FINALLY COMING TO ROOST?
Today I was working on something and planned to talk about something completely different, but then the WSJ dropped this bombshell: “OpenAI Misses Key Revenue, User Targets in High-Stakes Sprint Toward IPO”. I am pretty sure nobody expected to read something like this today, especially ahead of hyperscalers’ earnings due…
WHY YOU CANNOT SHORT THIS MARKET, EVEN WITH THE MIDDLE EAST ON FIRE
I don’t know whether, by the time I publish this article, anything I say will still be relevant given the current circumstances, but I hope most of the information will still be useful. Let me start with gold and silver, whose long-term fundamentals are strengthening every day, but which, in…
WHY WHO’S F/AROUND IN THE OIL FUTURES MARKET MIGHT FIND OUT IN 7 DAYS
At 10:00 am EST on April 13, the US Navy officially began a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (”Trump says Iranian ships to be ‘eliminated’ as US naval blockade begins”), turning the world’s most important oil chokepoint into the epicenter of a fresh pricing shock. In theory, at least….
THE PRIVATE CREDIT IMPLOSION WILL TRIGGER A GREATER FINANCIAL CRISIS
Now more people are talking about Private Credit. Surely the many headlines coming day after day about funds denying their investors’ requests to cash out resonate more with a larger audience, hence deserve more visibility in media hungry to attract engagement and maximize advertising revenues compared to all the warnings…
OIL WILL DECIDE WHEN GOLD AND SILVER BOTTOMED
This week started with a “Bang!”, but I am not referring to the sound of bomb or rocket strikes somewhere in the Middle East, but to President Trump’s post that jolted global markets about 2 hours before US cash trading began on Monday. There is plenty of commentary out there…
MY STUPID STRATEGY FOR WARTIMES INVESTING
In the past 72 hours, traffic on social media was through the roof, especially on X, but another thing was off the charts: the amount of nonsense being spread left and right with the sole purpose of farming engagement. Am I an expert on Iran? No, I am not, and…
IS THE DUO NVIDIA – COREWEAVE ABOUT TO JOLT THE AI NARRATIVE?
Lately, I haven’t written that often like I used to about AI and all the wicked narratives that propelled the stock price of many companies in the space into the stratosphere. The reason is very simple: after more than fifty articles over 2 years (all archived here), until today, I…