If you think that the semiconductor stocks bubble popping will mark an end to the speculative mania, I am afraid that won’t happen for 2 reasons: How are institutional investors going to reposition? As I already anticipated long ago, they will keep rotating into financial stocks and Bitcoin: Don’t believe…
Category:Financial Analysis
MARKETS ARE QUIET – TOO QUIET
This is supposed to be a “quiet” week ahead of US Thanksgiving that ushers in the last month of the year when no money manager is willing to spoil their performance and put their year-end bonus in danger by trying to make changes in asset allocation. The VIX term structure…
WHY A HEALTHY ECONOMY IS BAD FOR BANKS AND SHADOW BANKS BUSINESSES
Imagine a world where people only spend what they earn or where companies borrow to build new factories and use the additional revenues generated to repay the debt. Imagine a world where you have to plan and save enough money in advance to make an expensive purchase or where governments…
A DEEP DIVE BEYOND NVIDIA (COOKED) NUMBERS
Currently, Nvidia is the company with the highest market capitalization in the world. Sorry, I won’t call it “the most valuable” because price and value are two different things, and it would be an intellectual insult to refer to it as such. There are pros and cons to becoming such…
HOW LONG WILL THE MARKET IGNORE NORINCHUKIN BANK INSOLVENCY?
Is it possible for a bank to continue operating while being insolvent? The answer is yes, and Norinchukin Bank is the best example of it at the moment. I started to follow Norinchukin closely a long time ago (article) and the reason why I continue is because this little-known bank…
SUPER MICRO’S SECOND CHANCE OR NASDAQ’S NEXT SCANDAL?
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is under the Nasdaq microscope again, and it’s not a pretty sight for the exchange. The company missed its 10-K filing deadline back in August and already filed an NT 10-Q form anticipating they won’t be able to file its 10-Q on time either. Now…
SOFTBANK IS RUNNING OUT OF CASH, BUT NO WORRIES NVIDIA IS TRYING TO RESCUE IT
As I was finishing up drafting this article, a “breaking news” pops up: “SoftBank to get first NVIDIA chips for Japan super computer”. How timely, right? SoftBank just released its quarterly financial statements that leave not much room for doubt: SoftBank group only has cash to stay in business for…
UNTANGLING THE GREAT MICROSOFT ACCOUNTING (BORDERLINE FRAUDULENT) SHENANIGANS
Another great quarter for Microsoft that beat Wall Street analysts’ expectations comfortably (what a surprise), but once again the tides turned when the management started to provide guidance on future growth that came short of what investors were expecting, sending the stock price negative almost 4% during after-hours trading. However,…
WHAT HSBC ISN’T TELLING US: UNCOVERING THE RED FLAGS AND HIDDEN RISKS IN THEIR Q3 REPORT
Dear reader, please accept my apologies, but today’s article is going to be quite short. Why? Because in its latest quarterly release HSBC disclosed pretty much nothing relevant to truly assess its balance sheet’s strength in the 71 pages made available to the public. However, even if you can clearly…
THE SMOKING GUN THAT PROVES HOW OPENAI IS MICROSOFT’S REVENUES LAUNDROMAT
First of all, I would like to praise The Information for its excellent work in doing proper journalism, something that nowadays is more unique than rare, sadly. Let’s start with the explosive article just published and that, of course, barely caught the attention of mainstream media that are being very…