The USD dollar keeps strengthening and currently, the $DXY index is trading again above 105 or up ~0.77% in the past 5 days. What about the $USD / $JPY exchange rate? It’s only up ~0.14% while, instead, it should already be trading above 152, also considering the move in US…
Category:Japan
WHY IS #JAPAN SO SCARED ABOUT $JPY CROSSING 152 AGAINST THE $USD?
Crossing a specific FX level isn’t usually a “big deal”. What would be the difference for a country between settling payments at 151.95 or 152.05? Intuitively, it’s quite small. However, there are 2 specific markets where a “round number” can be a very big deal: derivatives and margin lending. Why?…
WHY A HISTORICAL $JPY CURRENCY CRISIS IS AT THE DOORSTEP OF #JAPAN
Imagine you hold an asset of any type. At the moment, the asset XYZ is worth 1M$ according to the price quoted on the exchange. Now, what would be your instinctive reaction if you suddenly discovered that your asset XYZ is instead worth 100k$, but you can still go to…
“Oops!… I did it again!” – #BOJ DANGEROUS SCHIZOPHRENIA
The Bank Of Japan (#BOJ) attempted to have its cake and eat it too, again, but this time, they didn’t have the luxury to do so anymore. The #BOJ had to decide which one to save between Japan’s economy and the global #stocks bubble, as we discussed last week (article…
ARE WE GOING TO SEE THE #FED FIREFIGHTING A #BOJ HIKE THIS WEEK?
This week we are going to have such a parade of central bank decisions on the menu: #RBA, #BOJ, #FOMC, #BOE, and #SNB 😵💫 All eyes will surely be on the #BOJ and the #FOMC. I do expect they will play “good cop bad cop” with market emotions. 🤭 The…
THE #BOJ DILEMMA – SAVE #JAPAN OR THE GLOBAL #STOCKS BUBBLE
This is it, the point where the #BOJ cannot kick the can down the road any longer has arrived. As you know, I have written many times about the #BOJ, warning of the consequences of their unbelievably reckless actions. 🚩 $JPY CARRY TRADE – THE BIGGEST FINANCIAL TICKING TIME BOMB…
JAPAN END GAME – A DEEPLY DEVALUED $JPY AND A WORTHLESS #NIKKEI
The #Nikkei just broke 40,000 and yet no one in #Japan is celebrating, literally speaking. Why? The purchasing power of $JPY literally fell through the floor in the past 30 years as a result of endless (and reckless) nonstop money printing. As I wrote almost 5 months ago on X:…
THE (FAKE) NARRATIVE THAT FUELED THE BREAKNECK #STOCKS RALLY SINCE LAST OCTOBER JUST CRUMBLED – WHAT HAPPENS NOW?
To anyone who lives in the real world, it has always been clear that #inflation wasn’t truly cooling down as the official (politically adjusted) CPI data pretended to portray (TwitterX). If you want to have a live snapshot of the distorted reality “economists” see from the high rise ivory towers…
DID THE MARKETS JUST HIT A SPEED BUMP OR A WALL?
US CPI came in hot, to the surprise of many, but not us, as we have been talking about this for the past 3 weeks, right? (TwitterX). What honestly surprised me is that #stocks didn’t manage to follow the usual script once the latest US CPI was released, although they…
IN A SCRAMBLE TO SURVIVE, SOFTBANK IS KILLING ALIBABA!
$BABA closed the last session crashing 9% after results beating expectations across the board, leaving many dumbfounded. Of course, the media quickly made up a narrative to write a story that could more or less fit the price action: “Alibaba crashes after pulling its Cloud Unit listing due to US…