I believe we now all agree the #inflation genie, or perhaps “devil,” is back with a vengeance. Who could have foreseen that? Well… I did 3 months ago ( “The Real Fight Against #Inlfation Has Not Even Started Yet” ), but most people were too busy getting drunk on the…
Tag:#FED
ARE WE GOING TO SEE THE #FED FIREFIGHTING A #BOJ HIKE THIS WEEK?
This week we are going to have such a parade of central bank decisions on the menu: #RBA, #BOJ, #FOMC, #BOE, and #SNB 😵💫 All eyes will surely be on the #BOJ and the #FOMC. I do expect they will play “good cop bad cop” with market emotions. 🤭 The…
MR. MARKET HAS BEEN FULLY REPLACED BY MR. DERIVATIVES – OH MAMMA MIA!
What a clown show the US market has become. Please forgive me, but I cannot find any better words to describe it. Before the US #CPI came out, I wrote these words: “Once data is out and is within the range of expectations (even if “hot”), algorithms start dumping the…
IS THE #FED (PERHAPS WILLINGLY) STARTING A BANKING CRISIS TODAY?
In about 24 hours, the “Bank Term Funding Programme”, the infamous #BTFP, will be history. There should not have been any surprise about this if it wasn’t for the fact the banking situation today is much worse than it was one year ago when the #BTFP was launched. How dire…
MORGAN STANLEY – BIG BALANCE SHEET LOSSES HIDDEN BEHIND EXOTIC DERIVATIVES CURTAINS (AGAIN)?
When you’ve spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day, in my case I traded my first stock when I was 11, sometimes you’re able to spot if something suddenly starts behaving weirdly. This is exactly what happened with Morgan Stanley ($MS) in the…
WHAT CAN SAVE #STOCKS FROM A HISTORICAL IMPLOSION ONCE AGAIN?
It’s no mystery anymore. What matters to low-popularity politicians in charge of government and seeking reelection is a #bullish #stockmarket until after the election date. From #Japan to the #US, from the #UK to #Germany, what do all of them have in common? The government in charge is dealing with…
JAPAN END GAME – A DEEPLY DEVALUED $JPY AND A WORTHLESS #NIKKEI
The #Nikkei just broke 40,000 and yet no one in #Japan is celebrating, literally speaking. Why? The purchasing power of $JPY literally fell through the floor in the past 30 years as a result of endless (and reckless) nonstop money printing. As I wrote almost 5 months ago on X:…
HOW CAN THE #FED BAILOUT BANKS WHEN THIS TIME IT NEEDS A BAILOUT ITSELF TO BEGIN WITH?
Even if blessed with superpowers, in particular, the one of printing infinite money, the Federal Reserve is ultimately a “Bank” and like every superhero has a weak spot like Kryptonite for Superman. Being a “Bank”, hence required to remain solvent, is paradoxically the #FED’s weakness. Let me explain: 1 –…
“WE HAVE NO ALTERNATIVE BUT TO RIDE STOCKS UNTIL THEY RUN”
Yesterday, I spent the evening with a good old friend, now a senior manager in a big financial firm, whom I will label as “Manager X” going forward. I believe some parts of our conversation will be interesting to everyone, my summary below 🙏🏻 1 – Why is there no…
THE PILE OF LIES USED TO RAISE THIS #STOCKS BULL MARKET UP TO THE SKY IS NOT WITHSTANDING GRAVITY ANYMORE
From $NVDA to Janet Yellen, from $AAPL to Jerome Powell, from $SMCI to Gary Gensler, from Joe Biden to the #BLS, from Rishi Sunak to $HSBC, from Christine Lagarde to #GermanRealEstate, from the #BOJ to $GOOG and on and on. What do all those I mentioned have in common? They…