Every avalanche always starts with that last small drop of a snowflake that makes the whole pack of snow too heavy to stick on the mountain. Since the #FED and fellow Central Banks joined the BOJ in the great money-printing crusade to “save the world” from COVID-19 in March 2020,…
Tag:#inflation
HOW LOW WILL THE EUR SINK THIS TIME?
Last week, the European Central Bank (#ECB) didn’t make a policy mistake. As we discussed in “AFTER JAPAN, NOW IT’S EUROPE’S TURN TO SACRIFICE ITSELF TO KEEP THE US MARKET BUBBLE ALIVE UNTIL THE ELECTIONS”, they simply acted to serve the US Federal Reserve (#FED) interests. The market now expects…
MEANWHILE STOCKS ENJOY THE HEAVENS, BANKS ARE GOING THROUGH HELL
It’s been some time since I first rang the alarm bell about the crisis unfolding in the Commercial Real Estate sector (#CRE) in the US. Banks’ risk departments were largely ignoring this crisis, an issue I highlighted in my previous post, ”The great paradox of CRE lending: while owners are…
AFTER JAPAN, NOW IT’S EUROPE’S TURN TO SACRIFICE ITSELF TO KEEP THE US MARKET BUBBLE ALIVE UNTIL THE ELECTIONS
At the European Central Bank (#ECB), they are so adamant about cutting rates lately that they are barely sparing a single day to remind markets about it (The time is ripe to cut interest rates next week, European Central Bank’s Rehn says). But, why such a rush when, even according…
IF YOU WANT TO BECOME RICH, THERE IS NO POINT IN TRYING TO TRADE A STOCK MARKET CRASH, BUT YOU SHOULD START PREPARING TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE NEXT CYCLICAL BULL RUN THAT WILL COME AFTER
Last week ended with the #VIX closing at 13.49, well below its ~19.50 long-term average, while the CNN “fear and greed” index closed at 40 in “fear” territory. Warren Buffett disclosed his cash “war chest” grew to 189bn #USD and socials have been fantasizing all over the weekend about the…
THIS LAST BURST OF QUANTITATIVE EASING WILL ACCELERATE THE OVERALL MONETARY IMPLOSION ALREADY UNFOLDING
Yes, quantitative easing is what just happened under everyone’s nose. The #JPY interventions of this past week effectively injected about 100 billion #USD into the global financial system that previously was not circulating. Why? Because #Japan MOF selling reserves to fetch #USD that can then be sold in the market…
WHY ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION IS VERY INFLATIONARY AND IF THE FED DOES NOT HIKE RATES NOW INFLATION WILL BE HOT RIGHT BEFORE THE US ELECTIONS IN NOVEMBER
Despite the #BOJ panic intervention as soon as the #JPY broke 160 against the #USD, and a US Treasury QRA (Quarterly Refinancing Announcement) that has been disclosed for an amount higher than expected, the longer end part of the US government bonds yield curve did not bother to move that…
STOP DREAMING – THE US ECONOMY HAS BEEN IN A RECESSION SINCE Q2 2021!
Every time I look at a new release of public, politically, seasonally adjusted data, I struggle not to smile (often, not to laugh lately). Things must be so bad this time that 7 months away from US elections, despite adjustments beyond the limits of human creativity, we’re getting this type…
NOW MORE AND MORE PEOPLE REALISE WHEN YOU CHASE UNREALISTIC EXPECTATIONS, YOU ARE INVESTING IN HALLUCINATIONS.
In December, people were literally salivating, dreaming of the flood of liquidity six #FED rate cuts would have delivered to the market in 2024. Fast forward 3 months into 2024, the expectations now are for 2 rate cuts and falling. Was the expectation of six #FED FF rate cuts unrealistic?…
THE NEW #FOMC MANDATE IS NOW OFFICIAL: SAVE THE #STOCKS BUBBLE AT ALL COSTS!
Let’s give a round of applause to Jerome Burns (aka Jerome Powell) for his incredible confidence in saying things like “#inflation is showing some seasonality that doesn’t change its downward trend”. First of all, can someone remind him that what he has been commenting on in the last 6 years…