Before COVID-19 appeared it was very hard to imagine most of the globe being put under lockdown restrictions that differed in type and tightness country by country right? The last instance the world experienced something similar in terms of mortality, lockdowns, quarantines, and consequent economic disruptions created by all those…
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THE #BOJ DILEMMA – SAVE #JAPAN OR THE GLOBAL #STOCKS BUBBLE
This is it, the point where the #BOJ cannot kick the can down the road any longer has arrived. As you know, I have written many times about the #BOJ, warning of the consequences of their unbelievably reckless actions. 🚩 $JPY CARRY TRADE – THE BIGGEST FINANCIAL TICKING TIME BOMB…
MR. MARKET HAS BEEN FULLY REPLACED BY MR. DERIVATIVES – OH MAMMA MIA!
What a clown show the US market has become. Please forgive me, but I cannot find any better words to describe it. Before the US #CPI came out, I wrote these words: “Once data is out and is within the range of expectations (even if “hot”), algorithms start dumping the…
IS THE #FED (PERHAPS WILLINGLY) STARTING A BANKING CRISIS TODAY?
In about 24 hours, the “Bank Term Funding Programme”, the infamous #BTFP, will be history. There should not have been any surprise about this if it wasn’t for the fact the banking situation today is much worse than it was one year ago when the #BTFP was launched. How dire…
NVIDIA CAN CRASH 20% ON MONDAY AND NOBODY SHOULD BE SURPRISED ABOUT THAT
If you think that Nvidia got where it is today because of its fundamental valuations, I am sorry but you might want to revise what “fundamental analysis” stands for. It’s no secret anymore that the company has been using borderline legal accounting shenanigans and commercial practices to report much higher…
MORGAN STANLEY – BIG BALANCE SHEET LOSSES HIDDEN BEHIND EXOTIC DERIVATIVES CURTAINS (AGAIN)?
When you’ve spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day, in my case I traded my first stock when I was 11, sometimes you’re able to spot if something suddenly starts behaving weirdly. This is exactly what happened with Morgan Stanley ($MS) in the…
NVIDIA – THE (FRAUD) SMOKING GUN?
As I write, NVIDIA is up 8.56% in After Hours trading after releasing their “monster” Q4-23 results. Compared to the Q3-23 report, there isn’t much change in all the red flags 🚩 I highlighted before [JustDario], but while I was comparing the two, my eye caught something strange. Before I…
THE #STOCKS HOUSE OF CARDS IS WOBBLING… AGAIN
Between the end of September and the beginning of October 2023, the #MOAB (Mother of All Bubbles) house of cards was dangerously wobbling. In a great coup de theatre, Jerome Burns managed to pull a “FED ghost pivot” 🐇 out of his magic hat, which sent everyone on a #FOMO…
NVIDIA, ITS RECYCLED “#AI REVOLUTION” AND THE DARK SIDE OF IT KEPT AWAY FROM THE PUBLIC
NVIDIA convinced everyone that we are just at the beginning of the #AI revolution and its GPUs will sell like hot cakes. Yes, we are at the beginning of the #AI revolution. However, NVIDIA isn’t going to be part of it as much as they (desperately) want people to believe,…
THE INCOMING GERMAN REAL ESTATE MAYHEM
As you know, I have been investigating US real estate, especially #CRE, since early last year (JustDario). Nowadays, the ginormous bubble popping up while #stocks keep hitting new ATH records is not a secret anymore. Surprisingly, despite the banking crisis that started in January 2023 and was never solved (the…