More than a month ago in “WHY MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN IS SUCH A BAD NEWS FOR MANY (GREEDY) US INVESTORS” I warned about how those companies that would suffer the biggest impact from US tariffs on foreign countries were, paradoxically, US companies. Why? Companies like Apple spent years building…
Category:Macro
THE DESPERATE MOVE OF GERMANY’S POLITICIANS
Germany, long regarded as the economic locomotive of Europe, unveiled a 2025 budget plan in July 2024 that raised eyebrows across financial markets (to say the least). With a mix of ambitious spending, fiscal rule-bending, and stubborn adherence to the controversial “debt brake,” the new budget reflected a government grappling…
THE US CRYPTO RESERVE PLAN: WHAT IT MEANS FOR INVESTORS EVERYWHERE
Let me paint you a picture. Imagine the U.S. Treasury announced it was buying up Amazon stock, Swiss francs, and commodities to hold as strategic reserves. Markets would go haywire. Now, replace those assets with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a handful of other cryptocurrencies. That’s exactly what’s happening. President Trump just…
AT WHICH STAGE OF A BUBBLE DO COMPANIES COMMIT MONEY THEY WILL NEVER REALISTICALLY HAVE?
That expectations and dreams today count more than reality is becoming harder and harder to deny, just as it’s becoming harder and harder to deny that companies’ management exclusively focuses on inflating their stock prices as much as possible in the short term, neglecting medium and long-term structural business growth….
THE CONSEQUENCES OF A GOLD TSUNAMI HITTING THE LBMA
The 2013 gold market crash, triggered by a sudden collapse in COMEX futures prices, exposed vulnerabilities in the global gold trading system. At that time, paper gold markets—dominated by futures contracts and speculative trading—overshadowed physical demand, creating a fragile equilibrium. Investors watched in disbelief as prices plummeted nearly 30% in…
THE POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF A SHORT SQUEEZE ON BOE GOLD EXPOSURE
Before diving into what’s happening in the gold market, with a particular focus on the Bank of England, let me first share a broader view of the dynamics at play for better understanding. The physical gold market is where people buy and sell real gold in the form of bars,…
WHY MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN IS SUCH A BAD NEWS FOR MANY (GREEDY) US INVESTORS
It is no mystery that U.S. companies that produce goods in other countries, like China, and sell them in the U.S., have successfully implemented many strategies over the years to maximize profits while minimizing taxation on their operations, especially profit tax. One common strategy is transfer pricing, which involves setting…
IN THE UPCOMING MAG7 EARNINGS SEASON QUESTIONS WILL MATTER MORE THAN NUMBERS
The Mag7 earnings season is about to kick off with Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla on Wednesday, followed by Apple on Thursday. Then the focus will shift next week to Alphabet on Tuesday and Amazon on Thursday. The last Mag7 company to report, perhaps the most important by far this time…
THE REASON WHY STOCKS OF COMPANIES THAT FAIL TO DELIVER HARDLY SELL OFF
Have you noticed how large companies are increasingly announcing initiatives and projects without well-defined business plans or existing funding, which are expected to generate results several years in the future? Have you observed how many large companies are launching products with claimed huge sales potentials that never materialize? The beyond…
HOW IS SCOTT BESSENT GOING TO DEAL WITH THE BANK OF JAPAN?
The next BOJ policy rate decision is approaching and, of course, much speculation surrounds it. I will not join the crowd because regardless of what happens next, it won’t change Japan’s fate in the medium to long term, as I have already discussed in these articles: The BOJ decision will…